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Mecole

Hardman Jr.

WR

#1

Mecole Hardman Jr.

#1WRBuffalo Bills

Height : 5' 10" · Weight : 187 lbs · Age : 28

NFL record

YearTeamGPRECTGTSYDSAVGTDLNGFD
2025Buffalo Bills20100.0000
2024Kansas City Chiefs121214907.50176
20232023 Totals1115241248.30378
2023Kansas City Chiefs614211188.40378
2023New York Jets51366.0060
2022Kansas City Chiefs8253429711.943614
2021Kansas City Chiefs17598369311.725333
2020Kansas City Chiefs16416256013.744923
2019Kansas City Chiefs16264153820.768318

Advanced stats, 2023 Wide receivers

NFL stats →

2023 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular wide receivers: 90th means better than 90% of them.

EPA per target

+0.03

23th percentile

Target share

11.0 %

17th percentile

Separation

—

Drops

3

66th percentile

Targets

24

1th percentile

Receptions

15

2th percentile

Catch rate

62.5 %

52th percentile

Receiving yards

124

0th percentile

Yards after catch

108

25th percentile

Receiving TDs

0

5th percentile

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2024 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.1

Games

10

WAR 2023

0.0

Games played

11

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (-4)

  • 20210.2 WAR · 0.012 per game
  • 20220.2 WAR · 0.025 per game
  • 20230.0 WAR · 0.000 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+6 · 25 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2023

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

78

Established starter

REC
Receiving
76
SEP
Separation
94
ELU
Elusiveness
94
HND
Hands
69
DUR
Durability
48
EX
Experience
58
Why these ratings?
  • REC — Receiving : Expected points added and yards per target
  • SEP — Separation : Separation from the defender at the throw (Next Gen Stats)
  • ELU — Elusiveness : Yards over expected, after contact or catch, broken tackles
  • HND — Hands : Drops avoided, catches per target
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2023

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Efficiency28
Usage14
After the catch90
Hands7

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Rushing0.00

45% of the EPA of his carries (the line gets the rest), above replacement.

Receiving+0.02

25% of the EPA of passes thrown his way (the QB and line get the rest), above replacement.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVRecRec ydsTDEPA/tgt
2023KC110.02778151240+0.03
2022KC80.28089252974+0.55
2021KC170.29091596932+0.22

Mecole Hardman Jr. in five questions

What are Mecole Hardman Jr.'s stats in 2023?

Mecole Hardman Jr. has 15 catches for 124 yards and 0 touchdowns in 11 games in 2023.

How old and how tall is Mecole Hardman Jr.?

Mecole Hardman Jr. is 28 years old. He is 5'10" (178 cm) and weighs 187 lb (85 kg).

How good is Mecole Hardman Jr.?

Mecole Hardman Jr. produced 0.0 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2023. His PAL rating is 27 out of 100: below average for his position.

What number does Mecole Hardman Jr. wear, and what team does he play for?

Mecole Hardman Jr. plays for Buffalo Bills in the NFL, at WR, and wears number 1.

What is Mecole Hardman Jr.'s projection for 2024?

Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2024, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Buffalo Bills teammates

Full roster →