Matt
Breida
RB · SF · Very poor
- PAL
- 4
- WAR
- -0.2
- YDS
- 151
2023
Matt Breida
#31RB
San Francisco 49ers
Biography
- Team
- San Francisco 49ers
- Position
- Running Back
- Height
- 5' 10"
- Weight
- 195 lbs
- Born
- February 28, 1995 (31)
- Birthplace
- Brooksville, FL
- College
- Georgia Southern
- Experience
- 7th Season
- Status
- Inactive
Career history
- New York Giants · 2022 – 2023 (2 seasons)
- Buffalo Bills · 2021 (1 season)
- Miami Dolphins · 2020 (1 season)
- San Francisco 49ers · 2017 – 2019 (3 seasons)
NFL record
| Year | Team | GP | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LNG | FD | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | New York Giants | 17 | 55 | 151 | 2.7 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 2022 | New York Giants | 17 | 54 | 220 | 4.1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 2021 | Buffalo Bills | 9 | 26 | 125 | 4.8 | 1 | 28 | 5 | 1 |
| 2020 | Miami Dolphins | 12 | 59 | 254 | 4.3 | 0 | 24 | 11 | 2 |
| 2019 | San Francisco 49ers | 13 | 123 | 623 | 5.1 | 1 | 83 | 23 | 2 |
| 2018 | San Francisco 49ers | 14 | 153 | 814 | 5.3 | 3 | 66 | 36 | 1 |
| 2017 | San Francisco 49ers | 16 | 105 | 465 | 4.4 | 2 | 33 | 22 | 1 |
Matt Breida: our analysis
2023 season: 17 GP, 55 CAR, 151 YDS, 1 TD, 17 REC, 88 REC YDS. WAR -0.2 · PAL 4, very poor.
In 2023, Matt Breida, 31, posts a PAL Rating of 4 out of 100 (very poor), with a WAR of -0.2.
On the other hand, receiving (0, among the weakest in the league) and creation (4, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (in wins), no component is positive; the costliest: rushing (-0.1).
A marked decline: his PAL was 51 in 2022, against 4 now; his WAR went from 0.1 to -0.2.
Advanced stats, 2023 Running backs
NFL stats →2023 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular running backs: 90th means better than 90% of them.
EPA per carry
−0.25
2th percentile
Rush yards over expected
—
Carries
55
0th percentile
Rushing yards
151
0th percentile
Yards per carry
2.7
0th percentile
Rushing TDs
1
7th percentile
Targets
21
11th percentile
Receiving yards
88
6th percentile
EPA per target
−0.46
2th percentile
Games
17
Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.
2024 projection
NFL trends →Projected WAR
0.0
80% of cases: -0.1 to 0.3
Games
17
WAR 2023
-0.2
Games played
17
The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.
Trend
→ Stable (-4)
- 20220.1 WAR · 0.006 per game
- 2023-0.2 WAR · -0.012 per game
The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.
Outlook, age included
-4 · 28 y.o. · prime years
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.
Player ratings, 2023
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.
OV · Overall
52
Backup or prospect
- RUN
- Rushing
- 63
- ELU
- Elusiveness
- 35
- REC
- Receiving
- 60
- BAL
- Ball skills
- 76
- DUR
- Durability
- 78
- EX
- Experience
- 70
Why these ratings?Hide details
- RUN — Rushing : Expected points added and success rate per carry
- ELU — Elusiveness : Yards over expected, after contact or catch, broken tackles
- REC — Receiving : Expected points added and yards per target
- BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
- DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
- EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL
WAR and PAL Rating, 2023
How we rate →WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).
PAL: dimensions
Where WAR comes from (in wins)
45% of the EPA of his carries (the line gets the rest), above replacement.
25% of the EPA of passes thrown his way (the QB and line get the rest), above replacement.
| Season | Team | G | WAR | PAL | OV | Rush yds | TD | Rec yds | EPA/car |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | NYG | 17 | -0.2 | 4 | 52 | 151 | 1 | 88 | −0.25 |
| 2022 | NYG | 17 | 0.1 | 51 | 72 | 220 | 1 | 118 | +0.01 |
Matt Breida: frequently asked questions
What are Matt Breida's stats in 2023?
Matt Breida has 151 rushing yards, 1 rushing touchdown and 17 catches in 17 games in 2023.
How old is Matt Breida?
Matt Breida is 31 years old: he was born on February 28, 1995.
How tall is Matt Breida, and how much does he weigh?
Matt Breida is 5'10" (178 cm) and weighs 194 lb (88 kg).
Where is Matt Breida from?
United States: Matt Breida was born in Brooksville, FL, in the United States.
What team does Matt Breida play for?
Matt Breida plays for the San Francisco 49ers in the NFL, at RB, wearing number 31.
How good is Matt Breida?
Matt Breida produced -0.2 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2023. His PAL rating is 4 out of 100: very poor for his position.
Is Matt Breida getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 51 in 2022 to 4 in 2023 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
What is Matt Breida's projection for 2024?
Our projection has him at 0.0 WAR in 2024, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.
