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61RareLester Cotton headshot

Lester

Cotton

G · NE · Very good

PAL
77
WAR
0.1

2023№ 42 / 177

Lester Cotton

#61GNew England Patriots logoNew England Patriots

Biography

Team
New England Patriots
Position
Guard
Height
6' 4"
Weight
325 lbs
Born
February 20, 1996 (30)
Birthplace
Tuscaloosa, AL
College
Alabama
Experience
5th Season
Status
Free Agent

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2023Miami Dolphins171100000

Lester Cotton: our analysis

2023 season: 17 GP, 9 GS, 616 SNAPS, 4 PEN. WAR 0.1 (42nd of 177) · PAL 77, very good.

In 2023, Lester Cotton, 30, posts a PAL Rating of 77 out of 100 (very good), and his WAR of 0.1 ranks 42nd among 177 regulars, in the top quarter.

His strengths: unit pass blocking (estimated) (96, among the best in the league) and unit run blocking (estimated) (85, among the best in the league). On the other hand, availability (17, well below average) and discipline (19, well below average) hold him back.

Blocking: +0.2 (in wins).

Advanced stats, 2023 Offensive line

NFL stats →

2023 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular offensive line: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Offensive snaps

616

17th percentile

Starts

9

14th percentile

Games

17

Penalties

4

46th percentile

Penalties per 100 snaps

0.65

18th percentile

Offensive line play is measured as a unit. No public stat says who allowed a sack or opened a hole. His snaps, starts and penalties are his own; pass protection, run blocking and his WAR are his team's line's, split by snaps played.

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2024 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.1

80% of cases: 0.0 to 0.2

Games

14

WAR 2023

0.1

Games played

17

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (+2)

  • 20230.1 WAR · 0.006 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+12 · 27 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2023

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite. Pass and run blocking: measures of his team's line.

OV · Overall

86

High-end

PBK
Unit pass blocking (estimated)
93
RBK
Unit run blocking (estimated)
85
DIS
Discipline
67
DUR
Durability
64
EX
Experience
58
Why these ratings?
  • PBK — Unit pass blocking (estimated) : Sacks and pressure his team's line allows: a unit measure, not the player. No public data isolates the lineman
  • RBK — Unit run blocking (estimated) : Value of his team's runs: a unit measure, not the player. No public data isolates the lineman
  • DIS — Discipline : Penalties avoided, per snap
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2023

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Unit pass blocking (estimated)96
Unit run blocking (estimated)85
Discipline19
Availability17

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Unit blocking (estimated)+0.15

The line's share of his team's offense (15% of targeted passes, 25% of other dropbacks, 55% of runs), split among linemen by snaps. A unit measure, not the player: no public data isolates the lineman.

A lineman's WAR is his team's line's, split by his snaps: it reflects the unit, not the player alone.

Lester Cotton: frequently asked questions

What are Lester Cotton's stats in 2023?

Lester Cotton has 616 offensive snaps in 17 games in 2023.

How old is Lester Cotton?

Lester Cotton is 30 years old: he was born on February 20, 1996.

How tall is Lester Cotton, and how much does he weigh?

Lester Cotton is 6'4" (193 cm) and weighs 324 lb (147 kg).

Where is Lester Cotton from?

United States: Lester Cotton was born in Tuscaloosa, AL, in the United States.

What team does Lester Cotton play for?

Lester Cotton plays for the New England Patriots in the NFL, at G, wearing number 61.

How good is Lester Cotton?

Lester Cotton produced 0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2023, 69th of 177 players at his position in the NFL. His PAL rating is 77 out of 100: very good for his position.

Is Lester Cotton a top-10 player at his position?

No: by WAR, he ranks 69th of 177 players at his position in the NFL in 2023. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.

What is Lester Cotton's projection for 2024?

Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2024, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his New England Patriots teammates

Full roster →