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Justin

Zimmer

DT · MIA · Very good

PAL
79
WAR
0.1
SACKS
1.0

2021

Justin Zimmer

#96DTMiami Dolphins logoMiami Dolphins

Biography

Team
Miami Dolphins
Position
Defensive Tackle
Height
6' 3"
Weight
292 lbs
Born
October 23, 1992 (34)
Birthplace
Greenville, MI
College
Ferris State
Experience
4th Season
Status
Free Agent

Career history

  • Miami Dolphins · 2022 (1 season)
  • Buffalo Bills · 2020 – 2021 (2 seasons)
  • Cleveland Browns · 2019 (1 season)

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2022Miami Dolphins51010000
2021Buffalo Bills68261000
2020Buffalo Bills12211381100
2019Cleveland Browns25230000

Justin Zimmer: our analysis

2021 season: 6 GP, 7 TKL, 1.0 SACKS, 1 TFL, 0 INT, 0 PD. WAR 0.1 · PAL 79, very good.

In 2021, Justin Zimmer, 34, posts a PAL Rating of 79 out of 100 (very good), with a WAR of 0.1.

His strengths: splash plays (82, well above average) and pass rush (78, well above average). On the other hand, tackling (22, well below average) holds him back.

Breaking down his WAR (in wins), his biggest contribution: splash plays (+0.1).

Advanced stats, 2021 Interior defensive line

NFL stats →

2021 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular interior defensive line: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Tackles

7

0th percentile

Sacks

1.0

16th percentile

Pressures

6

13th percentile

QB hits

4

16th percentile

Tackles for loss

1

8th percentile

Forced fumbles

0

35th percentile

Passes defended

0

19th percentile

Missed tackle rate

—

Defensive snaps

161

0th percentile

Games

6

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2022 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.1

80% of cases: 0.0 to 0.2

Games

9

WAR 2021

0.1

Games played

6

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (+2)

  • 20210.1 WAR · 0.017 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+2 · 28 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2021

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

77

Established starter

PRS
Pass rush
85
RDF
Run defense
78
TCK
Tackling
68
DUR
Durability
35
EX
Experience
65
Why these ratings?
  • PRS — Pass rush : Pressures, sacks and QB hits, per snap
  • RDF — Run defense : Run tackles and tackles for loss, per snap
  • TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2021

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Pass rush78
Run defense47
Splash plays82
Tackling22

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Splash plays+0.06

Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.

Coverage0.00

Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).

Position share+0.02

Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.

Team defense+0.01

How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.

The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.

Justin Zimmer: frequently asked questions

What are Justin Zimmer's stats in 2021?

Justin Zimmer has 1 sack and 4 QB hits in 6 games in 2021.

How old is Justin Zimmer?

Justin Zimmer is 34 years old: he was born on October 23, 1992.

How tall is Justin Zimmer, and how much does he weigh?

Justin Zimmer is 6'3" (191 cm) and weighs 291 lb (132 kg).

Where is Justin Zimmer from?

United States: Justin Zimmer was born in Greenville, MI, in the United States.

What team does Justin Zimmer play for?

Justin Zimmer plays for the Miami Dolphins in the NFL, at DT, wearing number 96.

How good is Justin Zimmer?

Justin Zimmer produced 0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2021. His PAL rating is 79 out of 100: very good for his position.

What is Justin Zimmer's projection for 2022?

Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2022, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Miami Dolphins teammates

Full roster →