Justin
Watson
WR
#84
Justin Watson
#84WR
Houston Texans
Height : 6' 2" · Weight : 215 lbs · Age : 30
NFL record
| Year | Team | GP | REC | TGTS | YDS | AVG | TD | LNG | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Houston Texans | 3 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 10.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 |
| 2024 | Kansas City Chiefs | 17 | 22 | 32 | 289 | 13.1 | 2 | 49 | 13 |
| 2023 | Kansas City Chiefs | 16 | 27 | 53 | 460 | 17.0 | 3 | 41 | 21 |
| 2022 | Kansas City Chiefs | 17 | 15 | 34 | 315 | 21.0 | 2 | 67 | 12 |
| 2020 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 11 | 7 | 11 | 94 | 13.4 | 0 | 36 | 5 |
| 2019 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 16 | 15 | 26 | 159 | 10.6 | 2 | 17 | 10 |
| 2018 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 12 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Advanced stats, 2024 Wide receivers
NFL stats →2024 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular wide receivers: 90th means better than 90% of them.
EPA per target
+0.60
94th percentile
Target share
6.8 %
2th percentile
Separation
—
Drops
2
86th percentile
Targets
32
2th percentile
Receptions
22
6th percentile
Catch rate
68.8 %
77th percentile
Receiving yards
289
6th percentile
Yards after catch
68
7th percentile
Receiving TDs
2
18th percentile
Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.
2025 projection
NFL trends →Projected WAR
0.1
Games
17
WAR 2024
0.2
Games played
17
The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.
Trend
→ Stable (+1)
- 20220.1 WAR · 0.006 per game
- 20230.1 WAR · 0.006 per game
- 20240.2 WAR · 0.012 per game
The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.
Outlook, age included
+1 · 28 y.o. · prime years
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.
Player ratings, 2024
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.
OV · Overall
65
Depth player
- REC
- Receiving
- 80
- SEP
- Separation
- 67
- ELU
- Elusiveness
- 55
- HND
- Hands
- 59
- DUR
- Durability
- 72
- EX
- Experience
- 70
Why these ratings?Hide details
- REC — Receiving : Expected points added and yards per target
- SEP — Separation : Separation from the defender at the throw (Next Gen Stats)
- ELU — Elusiveness : Yards over expected, after contact or catch, broken tackles
- HND — Hands : Drops avoided, catches per target
- DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
- EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL
WAR and PAL Rating, 2024
How we rate →WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).
PAL: dimensions
Where WAR comes from (in wins)
25% of the EPA of passes thrown his way (the QB and line get the rest), above replacement.
| Season | Team | G | WAR | PAL | OV | Rec | Rec yds | TD | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | KC | 17 | 0.2 | 51 | 65 | 22 | 289 | 2 | +0.60 |
| 2023 | KC | 16 | 0.1 | 16 | 46 | 27 | 460 | 3 | +0.08 |
| 2022 | KC | 17 | 0.1 | 12 | 56 | 15 | 315 | 2 | +0.22 |
Justin Watson in five questions
What are Justin Watson's stats in 2024?
Justin Watson has 22 catches for 289 yards and 2 touchdowns in 17 games in 2024.
How old and how tall is Justin Watson?
Justin Watson is 30 years old. He is 6'2" (188 cm) and weighs 216 lb (98 kg).
How good is Justin Watson?
Justin Watson produced 0.2 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2024, 34th of 91 players at his position in the NFL. His PAL rating is 51 out of 100: around average for his position.
What number does Justin Watson wear, and what team does he play for?
Justin Watson plays for Houston Texans in the NFL, at WR, and wears number 84.
What is Justin Watson's projection for 2025?
Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2025, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.
