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Justin

Simmons

S

#31

Justin Simmons

#31SAtlanta Falcons

Height : 6' 2" · Weight : 202 lbs · Age : 32

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2024Atlanta Falcons166236260000
2023Denver Broncos157053171217
2022Denver Broncos1269422703117
2021Denver Broncos178060201.5000
2020Denver Broncos1696771900118
2019Denver Broncos169365280000
2018Denver Broncos169771260000
2017Denver Broncos136849191000
2016Denver Broncos13302551000

Advanced stats, 2024 Safeties

NFL stats →

2024 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular safeties: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Tackles

58

28th percentile

Interceptions

2

70th percentile

Passes defended

7

72th percentile

Targets in coverage

37

Yards allowed

229 yd

Yards allowed per target

6.2 yd

86th percentile

Passer rating allowed

81.9

76th percentile

Missed tackle rate

10.1 %

30th percentile

Tackles for loss

2

46th percentile

Defensive snaps

1,017

77th percentile

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2025 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.1

Games

16

WAR 2024

0.2

Games played

16

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (+6)

  • 20210.2 WAR · 0.012 per game
  • 20220.6 WAR · 0.050 per game
  • 2023-0.1 WAR · -0.007 per game
  • 20240.2 WAR · 0.013 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

-9 · 30 y.o. · the age when performance usually declines

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2024

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

80

Very good

COV
Coverage
84
BAL
Ball skills
86
TCK
Tackling
62
DUR
Durability
74
EX
Experience
79
Why these ratings?
  • COV — Coverage : Yards and passer rating allowed per target
  • BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
  • TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2024

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Coverage82
Ball skills78
Tackling9
Splash plays28

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Splash plays−0.06

Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.

Coverage+0.24

Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).

Position share+0.11

Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.

Team defense−0.11

How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.

The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVTklINTPDYds/tgt
2024ATL160.2608058276.2
2023DEN15-0.1527567388.8
2022DEN120.6987561677.0
2021DEN170.28983695128.4

Justin Simmons in five questions

What are Justin Simmons's stats in 2024?

Justin Simmons has 2 interceptions and 7 passes defensed in 16 games in 2024.

How old and how tall is Justin Simmons?

Justin Simmons is 32 years old. He is 6'2" (188 cm) and weighs 203 lb (92 kg).

How good is Justin Simmons?

Justin Simmons produced 0.2 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2024, 27th of 83 players at his position in the NFL. His PAL rating is 60 out of 100: above average for his position.

What number does Justin Simmons wear, and what team does he play for?

Justin Simmons plays for Atlanta Falcons in the NFL, at S, and wears number 31.

What is Justin Simmons's projection for 2025?

Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2025, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Atlanta Falcons teammates

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