Justin
Jefferson
WR
#18
Justin Jefferson
#18WR
Minnesota Vikings
Height : 6' 1" · Weight : 195 lbs · Age : 27
NFL record
| Year | Team | GP | REC | TGTS | YDS | AVG | TD | LNG | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Minnesota Vikings | 3 | 13 | 17 | 179 | 13.8 | 2 | 39 | 8 |
| 2025 | Minnesota Vikings | 17 | 84 | 141 | 1,048 | 12.5 | 2 | 50 | 47 |
| 2024 | Minnesota Vikings | 17 | 103 | 154 | 1,533 | 14.9 | 10 | 97 | 62 |
| 2023 | Minnesota Vikings | 10 | 68 | 100 | 1,074 | 15.8 | 5 | 52 | 51 |
| 2022 | Minnesota Vikings | 17 | 128 | 184 | 1,809 | 14.1 | 8 | 64 | 80 |
| 2021 | Minnesota Vikings | 17 | 108 | 167 | 1,616 | 15.0 | 10 | 56 | 75 |
| 2020 | Minnesota Vikings | 16 | 88 | 125 | 1,400 | 15.9 | 7 | 71 | 58 |
Contract
Minnesota Vikings payroll →- 2026 cap number
- 21.17 M$
- Average per year
- 35.00 M$
- Total value
- 140.0 M$
- Seasons left
- 4 · through 2029
2026
21.17 M$
Guaranteed
2027
49.44 M$
Partially guaranteed
2028
53.44 M$
Not guaranteed
2029
12.01 M$
Not guaranteed
Cap number: the season's salary plus the share of the signing bonus spread over the contract. Total value and average per year cover the whole contract, from its signing.
Advanced stats, 2026 Wide receivers
NFL stats →2026 season, in progress (3 games played). The percentile ranks the player among regular wide receivers: 90th means better than 90% of them.
EPA per target
+0.87
90th percentile
Target share
26.2 %
86th percentile
Separation
2.9 yd
56th percentile
Drops
3
9th percentile
Targets
17
49th percentile
Receptions
13
65th percentile
Catch rate
76.5 %
79th percentile
Receiving yards
179
69th percentile
Yards after catch
52
71th percentile
Receiving TDs
2
87th percentile
Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.
2026 end-of-season projection
NFL trends →Projected WAR
0.4
Games
17
WAR 2026
0.1
Games played
3
WAR already earned, plus his pace (WAR per game over the last three seasons, 60/25/15, pulled toward the group average) over his team's remaining games, given his availability so far.
Trend
→ Stable (+5)
- 20230.4 WAR · 0.040 per game
- 20240.6 WAR · 0.035 per game
- 20250.0 WAR · 0.000 per game
- 20260.1 WAR · 0.033 per game
The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.
Outlook, age included
+15 · 27 y.o. · prime years
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.
Player ratings, 2026
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.
OV · Overall
83
Very good
- REC
- Receiving
- 77
- SEP
- Separation
- 80
- ELU
- Elusiveness
- 81
- HND
- Hands
- 80
- DUR
- Durability
- 77
- EX
- Experience
- 70
Why these ratings?Hide details
- REC — Receiving : Expected points added and yards per target
- SEP — Separation : Separation from the defender at the throw (Next Gen Stats)
- ELU — Elusiveness : Yards over expected, after contact or catch, broken tackles
- HND — Hands : Drops avoided, catches per target
- DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
- EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL
WAR and PAL Rating, 2026
How we rate →WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).
WAR
0.1
#4 of 77 regular wide receivers
PAL Rating
85 / 100
#12 of 77 regular wide receivers
Value Rating · 2025
46 / 100
2025 PAL (78) against 2026 salary: the contract's average per year (APY), $35.0M.PAL expected for this salary: 75PAL: dimensions
Where WAR comes from (in wins)
25% of the EPA of passes thrown his way (the QB and line get the rest), above replacement.
| Season | Team | G | WAR | PAL | OV | Rec | Rec yds | TD | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | MIN | 3 | 0.1 | 85 | 83 | 13 | 179 | 2 | +0.87 |
| 2025 | MIN | 17 | 0.0 | 78 | 87 | 84 | 1,048 | 2 | −0.10 |
| 2024 | MIN | 17 | 0.6 | 91 | 86 | 103 | 1,533 | 10 | +0.42 |
| 2023 | MIN | 10 | 0.4 | 88 | 87 | 68 | 1,074 | 5 | +0.43 |
| 2022 | MIN | 17 | 0.7 | 98 | 95 | 128 | 1,809 | 8 | +0.41 |
| 2021 | MIN | 17 | 0.6 | 94 | 88 | 108 | 1,616 | 10 | +0.46 |
Justin Jefferson in five questions
What are Justin Jefferson's stats in 2026?
Justin Jefferson has 13 catches for 179 yards and 2 touchdowns in 3 games in 2026.
How old and how tall is Justin Jefferson?
Justin Jefferson is 27 years old. He is 6'1" (185 cm) and weighs 194 lb (88 kg).
How good is Justin Jefferson?
Justin Jefferson produced 0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2026 (season in progress), 20th of 77 players at his position in the NFL. His PAL rating is 85 out of 100: excellent for his position.
What number does Justin Jefferson wear, and what team does he play for?
Justin Jefferson plays for Minnesota Vikings in the NFL, at WR, and wears number 18.
What is Justin Jefferson's projection for 2026?
Our projection has him at 0.4 WAR over the full 2026 season, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.
