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Justin

Jackson

RB

#38

Justin Jackson

#38RBDetroit Lions

Height : 6' 0" · Weight : 199 lbs · Age : 30

NFL record

YearTeamGPCARYDSAVGTDLNGFDFUM
2022Detroit Lions16421704.012780
2021Los Angeles Chargers14683645.4275181
2020Los Angeles Chargers9592704.6036150
2019Los Angeles Chargers7292006.904090
2018Los Angeles Chargers13502064.1220140

Advanced stats, 2022 Running backs

NFL stats →

2022 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular running backs: 90th means better than 90% of them.

EPA per carry

−0.25

2th percentile

Rush yards over expected

—

Carries

42

0th percentile

Rushing yards

170

0th percentile

Yards per carry

4.0

30th percentile

Rushing TDs

1

2th percentile

Targets

19

17th percentile

Receiving yards

101

19th percentile

EPA per target

+0.20

87th percentile

Games

16

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2023 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.0

Games

15

WAR 2022

-0.1

Games played

16

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (-3)

  • 20210.1 WAR · 0.007 per game
  • 2022-0.1 WAR · -0.006 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+7 · 26 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2022

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

67

Depth player

RUN
Rushing
63
ELU
Elusiveness
64
REC
Receiving
88
BAL
Ball skills
75
DUR
Durability
72
EX
Experience
58
Why these ratings?
  • RUN — Rushing : Expected points added and success rate per carry
  • ELU — Elusiveness : Yards over expected, after contact or catch, broken tackles
  • REC — Receiving : Expected points added and yards per target
  • BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2022

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Rushing9
Creation66
Receiving36
Ball security55

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Rushing−0.09

45% of the EPA of his carries (the line gets the rest), above replacement.

Receiving+0.04

25% of the EPA of passes thrown his way (the QB and line get the rest), above replacement.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVRush ydsTDRec ydsEPA/car
2022DET16-0.115671701101−0.25
2021LAC140.1206736421780.00

Justin Jackson in five questions

What are Justin Jackson's stats in 2022?

Justin Jackson has 170 rushing yards, 1 rushing touchdown and 12 catches in 16 games in 2022.

How old and how tall is Justin Jackson?

Justin Jackson is 30 years old. He is 6'0" (183 cm) and weighs 198 lb (90 kg).

How good is Justin Jackson?

Justin Jackson produced -0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2022. His PAL rating is 15 out of 100: very poor for his position.

What number does Justin Jackson wear, and what team does he play for?

Justin Jackson plays for Detroit Lions in the NFL, at RB, and wears number 38.

What is Justin Jackson's projection for 2023?

Our projection has him at 0.0 WAR in 2023, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Detroit Lions teammates

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