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Justin

Hollins

DE

#52

Justin Hollins

#52DEBuffalo Bills

Height : 6' 5" · Weight : 248 lbs · Age : 30

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2023Los Angeles Chargers78621000
2023Green Bay Packers49540000
20222022 Totals163519163.5110
2022Green Bay Packers69452.5000
2022Los Angeles Rams102615111110
2021Los Angeles Rams8221482100
2020Los Angeles Rams162818103100
2019Denver Broncos15211291000

Advanced stats, 2023 Linebackers

NFL stats →

2023 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular linebackers: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Tackles

14

0th percentile

Tackles for loss

1

3th percentile

Sacks

1.0

20th percentile

Pressures

3

11th percentile

Interceptions

0

31th percentile

Passes defended

0

5th percentile

Yards allowed per target

9.0 yd

4th percentile

Passer rating allowed

104.2

20th percentile

Missed tackle rate

10.5 %

22th percentile

Defensive snaps

197

0th percentile

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2024 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.0

Games

14

WAR 2023

-0.1

Games played

12

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (-2)

  • 20210.0 WAR · 0.000 per game
  • 20220.1 WAR · 0.006 per game
  • 2023-0.1 WAR · -0.008 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+8 · 27 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2023

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

55

Backup or prospect

TCK
Tackling
71
COV
Coverage
71
RDF
Run defense
62
PRS
Pass rush
80
DUR
Durability
58
EX
Experience
58
Why these ratings?
  • TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
  • COV — Coverage : Yards and passer rating allowed per target
  • RDF — Run defense : Run tackles and tackles for loss, per snap
  • PRS — Pass rush : Pressures, sacks and QB hits, per snap
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2023

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Tackling25
Coverage36
Run defense34
Splash plays27
Pass rush60

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Splash plays−0.05

Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.

Coverage−0.02

Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).

Position share+0.02

Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.

Team defense−0.01

How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.

The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVTklTFLSacksINT
2023LAC12-0.110551411.00
2022GB160.173763233.50
2021LAR80.048631812.00

Justin Hollins in five questions

What are Justin Hollins's stats in 2023?

Justin Hollins has 1 sack and 1 QB hit in 12 games in 2023.

How old and how tall is Justin Hollins?

Justin Hollins is 30 years old. He is 6'5" (196 cm) and weighs 247 lb (112 kg).

How good is Justin Hollins?

Justin Hollins produced -0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2023. His PAL rating is 10 out of 100: very poor for his position.

What number does Justin Hollins wear, and what team does he play for?

Justin Hollins plays for Buffalo Bills in the NFL, at DE, and wears number 52.

What is Justin Hollins's projection for 2024?

Our projection has him at 0.0 WAR in 2024, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Buffalo Bills teammates

Full roster →