Justin
Herron
OT

#76
Justin Herron
#76OT
Detroit Lions
Height : 6' 5" · Weight : 290 lbs · Age : 30
NFL record
| Year | Team | GP | TOT | SOLO | AST | SACK | FF | FR | YDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | New England Patriots | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Advanced stats, 2021 Offensive line
NFL stats →2021 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular offensive line: 90th means better than 90% of them.
Offensive snaps
394
0th percentile
Starts
7
4th percentile
Games
16
Penalties
2
79th percentile
Penalties per 100 snaps
0.51
40th percentile
Offensive line play is measured as a unit. No public stat says who allowed a sack or opened a hole. His snaps, starts and penalties are his own; pass protection, run blocking and his WAR are his team's line's, split by snaps played.
Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.
2022 projection
NFL trends →Projected WAR
0.1
Games
15
WAR 2021
0.1
Games played
16
The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.
Trend
→ Stable (0)
- 20210.1 WAR · 0.006 per game
The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.
Outlook, age included
+10 · 25 y.o. · prime years
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.
Player ratings, 2021
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite. Pass and run blocking: measures of his team's line.
OV · Overall
85
High-end
- PBK
- Unit pass blocking (estimated)
- 79
- RBK
- Unit run blocking (estimated)
- 85
- DIS
- Discipline
- 78
- DUR
- Durability
- 73
- EX
- Experience
- 25
Why these ratings?Hide details
- PBK — Unit pass blocking (estimated) : Sacks and pressure his team's line allows: a unit measure, not the player. No public data isolates the lineman
- RBK — Unit run blocking (estimated) : Value of his team's runs: a unit measure, not the player. No public data isolates the lineman
- DIS — Discipline : Penalties avoided, per snap
- DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
- EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL
WAR and PAL Rating, 2021
How we rate →WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).
PAL: dimensions
Where WAR comes from (in wins)
The line's share of his team's offense (15% of targeted passes, 25% of other dropbacks, 55% of runs), split among linemen by snaps. A unit measure, not the player: no public data isolates the lineman.
A lineman's WAR is his team's line's, split by his snaps: it reflects the unit, not the player alone.
Justin Herron in five questions
What are Justin Herron's stats in 2021?
Justin Herron has 394 offensive snaps in 16 games in 2021.
How old and how tall is Justin Herron?
Justin Herron is 30 years old. He is 6'5" (196 cm) and weighs 291 lb (132 kg).
How good is Justin Herron?
Justin Herron produced 0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2021. His PAL rating is 63 out of 100: above average for his position.
What number does Justin Herron wear, and what team does he play for?
Justin Herron plays for Detroit Lions in the NFL, at OT, and wears number 76.
What is Justin Herron's projection for 2022?
Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2022, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.





