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Justin

Herron

OT

#76

Justin Herron

#76OTDetroit Lions

Height : 6' 5" · Weight : 290 lbs · Age : 30

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2020New England Patriots121100000

Advanced stats, 2021 Offensive line

NFL stats →

2021 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular offensive line: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Offensive snaps

394

0th percentile

Starts

7

4th percentile

Games

16

Penalties

2

79th percentile

Penalties per 100 snaps

0.51

40th percentile

Offensive line play is measured as a unit. No public stat says who allowed a sack or opened a hole. His snaps, starts and penalties are his own; pass protection, run blocking and his WAR are his team's line's, split by snaps played.

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2022 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.1

Games

15

WAR 2021

0.1

Games played

16

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (0)

  • 20210.1 WAR · 0.006 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+10 · 25 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2021

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite. Pass and run blocking: measures of his team's line.

OV · Overall

85

High-end

PBK
Unit pass blocking (estimated)
79
RBK
Unit run blocking (estimated)
85
DIS
Discipline
78
DUR
Durability
73
EX
Experience
25
Why these ratings?
  • PBK — Unit pass blocking (estimated) : Sacks and pressure his team's line allows: a unit measure, not the player. No public data isolates the lineman
  • RBK — Unit run blocking (estimated) : Value of his team's runs: a unit measure, not the player. No public data isolates the lineman
  • DIS — Discipline : Penalties avoided, per snap
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2021

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Unit pass blocking (estimated)80
Unit run blocking (estimated)78
Discipline40
Availability0

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Unit blocking (estimated)+0.07

The line's share of his team's offense (15% of targeted passes, 25% of other dropbacks, 55% of runs), split among linemen by snaps. A unit measure, not the player: no public data isolates the lineman.

A lineman's WAR is his team's line's, split by his snaps: it reflects the unit, not the player alone.

Justin Herron in five questions

What are Justin Herron's stats in 2021?

Justin Herron has 394 offensive snaps in 16 games in 2021.

How old and how tall is Justin Herron?

Justin Herron is 30 years old. He is 6'5" (196 cm) and weighs 291 lb (132 kg).

How good is Justin Herron?

Justin Herron produced 0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2021. His PAL rating is 63 out of 100: above average for his position.

What number does Justin Herron wear, and what team does he play for?

Justin Herron plays for Detroit Lions in the NFL, at OT, and wears number 76.

What is Justin Herron's projection for 2022?

Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2022, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Detroit Lions teammates

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