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Joshua

Kelley

RB

#25

Joshua Kelley

#25RBTennessee Titans

Height : 5' 11" · Weight : 212 lbs · Age : 28

NFL record

YearTeamGPCARYDSAVGTDLNGFDFUM
2024Tennessee Titans3122.00200
2023Los Angeles Chargers171074053.8249211
2022Los Angeles Chargers13692874.2222160
2021Los Angeles Chargers10331023.101451
2020Los Angeles Chargers141113543.2233202

Advanced stats, 2023 Running backs

NFL stats →

2023 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular running backs: 90th means better than 90% of them.

EPA per carry

−0.24

4th percentile

Rush yards over expected

−0.24 yd/att

31th percentile

Carries

107

17th percentile

Rushing yards

405

10th percentile

Yards per carry

3.8

23th percentile

Rushing TDs

2

19th percentile

Targets

12

0th percentile

Receiving yards

32

0th percentile

EPA per target

−0.47

2th percentile

Games

17

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2024 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

-0.1

Games

15

WAR 2023

-0.2

Games played

17

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (-5)

  • 2021-0.2 WAR · -0.020 per game
  • 20220.1 WAR · 0.008 per game
  • 2023-0.2 WAR · -0.012 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+5 · 25 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2023

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

35

Backup or prospect

RUN
Rushing
56
ELU
Elusiveness
60
REC
Receiving
56
BAL
Ball skills
61
DUR
Durability
74
EX
Experience
50
Why these ratings?
  • RUN — Rushing : Expected points added and success rate per carry
  • ELU — Elusiveness : Yards over expected, after contact or catch, broken tackles
  • REC — Receiving : Expected points added and yards per target
  • BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2023

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Rushing10
Creation31
Receiving0
Ball security20

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Rushing−0.18

45% of the EPA of his carries (the line gets the rest), above replacement.

Receiving−0.03

25% of the EPA of passes thrown his way (the QB and line get the rest), above replacement.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVRush ydsTDRec ydsEPA/car
2023LAC17-0.2435405232−0.24
2022LAC130.155352872101+0.04
2021LAC10-0.2048102038−0.46

Joshua Kelley in five questions

What are Joshua Kelley's stats in 2023?

Joshua Kelley has 405 rushing yards, 2 rushing touchdowns and 8 catches in 17 games in 2023.

How old and how tall is Joshua Kelley?

Joshua Kelley is 28 years old. He is 5'11" (180 cm) and weighs 212 lb (96 kg).

How good is Joshua Kelley?

Joshua Kelley produced -0.2 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2023. His PAL rating is 4 out of 100: very poor for his position.

What number does Joshua Kelley wear, and what team does he play for?

Joshua Kelley plays for Tennessee Titans in the NFL, at RB, and wears number 25.

What is Joshua Kelley's projection for 2024?

Our projection has him at -0.1 WAR in 2024, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Tennessee Titans teammates

Full roster →