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65BaseJesse Davis headshot

Jesse

Davis

OT · NO · Below average

PAL
23
WAR
-0.1

2021№ 134 / 181

Jesse Davis

#65OTNew Orleans Saints logoNew Orleans Saints

Biography

Team
New Orleans Saints
Position
Offensive Tackle
Height
6' 6"
Weight
309 lbs
Born
September 15, 1991 (35)
Birthplace
Asotin, WA
College
Idaho
Experience
7th Season
Status
Free Agent

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2020Miami Dolphins161100000
2019Miami Dolphins151100000

Jesse Davis: our analysis

2021 season: 17 GP, 16 GS, 1,064 SNAPS, 3 PEN. WAR -0.1 (134th of 181) · PAL 23, below average.

In 2021, Jesse Davis, 35, posts a PAL Rating of 23 out of 100 (below average), and his WAR of -0.1 ranks 134th among 181 regulars, in the bottom half.

His strengths: discipline (75, well above average) and availability (67, above average). On the other hand, unit run blocking (estimated) (3, among the weakest in the league) holds him back.

Blocking: -0.1 (in wins).

Advanced stats, 2021 Offensive line

NFL stats →

2021 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular offensive line: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Offensive snaps

1,064

70th percentile

Starts

16

69th percentile

Games

17

Penalties

3

62th percentile

Penalties per 100 snaps

0.28

75th percentile

Offensive line play is measured as a unit. No public stat says who allowed a sack or opened a hole. His snaps, starts and penalties are his own; pass protection, run blocking and his WAR are his team's line's, split by snaps played.

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2022 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.0

80% of cases: -0.1 to 0.1

Games

17

WAR 2021

-0.1

Games played

17

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (-1)

  • 2021-0.1 WAR · -0.006 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

-1 · 29 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2021

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite. Pass and run blocking: measures of his team's line.

OV · Overall

74

Established starter

PBK
Unit pass blocking (estimated)
78
RBK
Unit run blocking (estimated)
54
DIS
Discipline
84
DUR
Durability
88
EX
Experience
65
Why these ratings?
  • PBK — Unit pass blocking (estimated) : Sacks and pressure his team's line allows: a unit measure, not the player. No public data isolates the lineman
  • RBK — Unit run blocking (estimated) : Value of his team's runs: a unit measure, not the player. No public data isolates the lineman
  • DIS — Discipline : Penalties avoided, per snap
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2021

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Unit pass blocking (estimated)52
Unit run blocking (estimated)3
Discipline75
Availability67

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Unit blocking (estimated)−0.11

The line's share of his team's offense (15% of targeted passes, 25% of other dropbacks, 55% of runs), split among linemen by snaps. A unit measure, not the player: no public data isolates the lineman.

A lineman's WAR is his team's line's, split by his snaps: it reflects the unit, not the player alone.

Jesse Davis: frequently asked questions

What are Jesse Davis's stats in 2021?

Jesse Davis has 1,064 offensive snaps in 17 games in 2021.

How old is Jesse Davis?

Jesse Davis is 35 years old: he was born on September 15, 1991.

How tall is Jesse Davis, and how much does he weigh?

Jesse Davis is 6'6" (198 cm) and weighs 309 lb (140 kg).

Where is Jesse Davis from?

United States: Jesse Davis was born in Asotin, WA, in the United States.

What team does Jesse Davis play for?

Jesse Davis plays for the New Orleans Saints in the NFL, at OT, wearing number 65.

How good is Jesse Davis?

Jesse Davis produced -0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2021, 138th of 181 players at his position in the NFL. His PAL rating is 23 out of 100: below average for his position.

Is Jesse Davis a top-10 player at his position?

No: by WAR, he ranks 138th of 181 players at his position in the NFL in 2021. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.

What is Jesse Davis's projection for 2022?

Our projection has him at 0.0 WAR in 2022, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his New Orleans Saints teammates

Full roster →