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34BaseJeff Wilson Jr. headshot

Jeff

Wilson Jr.

RB · MIA · Around average

PAL
40
WAR
0.1
YDS
188

2023

Jeff Wilson Jr.

#34RBMiami Dolphins logoMiami Dolphins

Biography

Team
Miami Dolphins
Position
Running Back
Height
6' 0"
Weight
205 lbs
Born
November 16, 1996 (29)
Birthplace
Elkhart, TX
College
North Texas
Experience
8th Season
Status
Free Agent

Career history

  • Miami Dolphins · 2023 – 2025 (3 seasons)
  • 2022 Totals · 2022 (1 season)
  • Miami Dolphins · 2022 (1 season)
  • San Francisco 49ers · 2018 – 2022 (5 seasons)

NFL record

YearTeamGPCARYDSAVGTDLNGFDFUM
2025Miami Dolphins3-------
2024Miami Dolphins916573.601430
2023Miami Dolphins10411884.601580
20222022 Totals161768604.9541442
2022Miami Dolphins8843924.7328211
2022San Francisco 49ers8924685.1241231
2021San Francisco 49ers9792943.7217191
2020San Francisco 49ers121266004.8734312
2019San Francisco 49ers10271053.942590
2018San Francisco 49ers6662664.0018133

Jeff Wilson Jr.: our analysis

2023 season: 10 GP, 41 CAR, 188 YDS, 0 TD, 14 REC, 85 REC YDS. WAR 0.1 · PAL 40, around average.

In 2023, Jeff Wilson Jr., 29, posts a PAL Rating of 40 out of 100 (around average), with a WAR of 0.1.

On the other hand, creation (25, well below average) holds him back.

A marked decline: his PAL was 54 in 2022, against 40 now; his WAR went from 0.3 to 0.1.

Advanced stats, 2023 Running backs

NFL stats →

2023 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular running backs: 90th means better than 90% of them.

EPA per carry

−0.02

72th percentile

Rush yards over expected

—

Carries

41

0th percentile

Rushing yards

188

0th percentile

Yards per carry

4.6

77th percentile

Rushing TDs

0

1th percentile

Targets

17

5th percentile

Receiving yards

85

6th percentile

EPA per target

+0.16

85th percentile

Games

10

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2024 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.1

80% of cases: -0.1 to 0.2

Games

12

WAR 2023

0.1

Games played

10

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (-2)

  • 2021-0.1 WAR · -0.011 per game
  • 20220.3 WAR · 0.019 per game
  • 20230.1 WAR · 0.010 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+8 · 27 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2023

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

67

Depth player

RUN
Rushing
84
ELU
Elusiveness
67
REC
Receiving
68
BAL
Ball skills
68
DUR
Durability
52
EX
Experience
65
Why these ratings?
  • RUN — Rushing : Expected points added and success rate per carry
  • ELU — Elusiveness : Yards over expected, after contact or catch, broken tackles
  • REC — Receiving : Expected points added and yards per target
  • BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2023

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Rushing46
Creation25
Receiving40
Ball security60

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Rushing+0.05

45% of the EPA of his carries (the line gets the rest), above replacement.

Receiving+0.03

25% of the EPA of passes thrown his way (the QB and line get the rest), above replacement.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVRush ydsTDRec ydsEPA/car
2023MIA100.14067188085−0.02
2022MIA160.354718605185+0.04
2021SF9-0.1861294231−0.13

Jeff Wilson Jr.: frequently asked questions

What are Jeff Wilson Jr.'s stats in 2023?

Jeff Wilson Jr. has 188 rushing yards, 0 rushing touchdowns and 14 catches in 10 games in 2023.

How old is Jeff Wilson Jr.?

Jeff Wilson Jr. is 29 years old: he was born on November 16, 1996.

How tall is Jeff Wilson Jr., and how much does he weigh?

Jeff Wilson Jr. is 6'0" (183 cm) and weighs 205 lb (93 kg).

Where is Jeff Wilson Jr. from?

United States: Jeff Wilson Jr. was born in Elkhart, TX, in the United States.

What team does Jeff Wilson Jr. play for?

Jeff Wilson Jr. plays for the Miami Dolphins in the NFL, at RB, wearing number 34.

How good is Jeff Wilson Jr.?

Jeff Wilson Jr. produced 0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2023. His PAL rating is 40 out of 100: around average for his position.

Is Jeff Wilson Jr. getting better?

No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 54 in 2022 to 40 in 2023 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

What is Jeff Wilson Jr.'s projection for 2024?

Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2024, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Miami Dolphins teammates

Full roster →