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86BaseJeff Smith headshot

Jeff

Smith

WR · ARI · Very poor

PAL
14
WAR
0.0
YDS
113

2021

Jeff Smith

#86WRArizona Cardinals logoArizona Cardinals

Biography

Team
Arizona Cardinals
Position
Wide Receiver
Height
6' 1"
Weight
195 lbs
Born
April 21, 1997 (29)
Birthplace
St. Petersburg, FL
College
Boston College
Experience
4th Season
Status
Free Agent

NFL record

YearTeamGPRECTGTSYDSAVGTDLNGFD
2022New York Jets1181113416.80505
2021New York Jets1281711314.10356
2020New York Jets1217371679.80219
2019New York Jets1121212.00121

Jeff Smith: our analysis

2021 season: 12 GP, 17 TGT, 8 REC, 113 YDS, 0 TD, 15 YAC. WAR 0.0 · PAL 14, very poor.

In 2021, Jeff Smith, 29, posts a PAL Rating of 14 out of 100 (very poor), with a WAR of 0.0.

On the other hand, usage (5, among the weakest in the league) and hands (21, well below average) hold him back.

Advanced stats, 2021 Wide receivers

NFL stats →

2021 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular wide receivers: 90th means better than 90% of them.

EPA per target

+0.32

65th percentile

Target share

6.2 %

0th percentile

Separation

—

Drops

1

91th percentile

Targets

17

0th percentile

Receptions

8

0th percentile

Catch rate

47.1 %

1th percentile

Receiving yards

113

0th percentile

Yards after catch

15

0th percentile

Receiving TDs

0

3th percentile

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2022 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.1

80% of cases: 0.0 to 0.2

Games

12

WAR 2021

0.0

Games played

12

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (+3)

  • 20210.0 WAR · 0.000 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+28 · 24 y.o. · usually still improving

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2021

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

35

Backup or prospect

REC
Receiving
56
SEP
Separation
—
ELU
Elusiveness
61
HND
Hands
55
DUR
Durability
61
EX
Experience
40
Why these ratings?
  • REC — Receiving : Expected points added and yards per target
  • SEP — Separation : Separation from the defender at the throw (Next Gen Stats)
  • ELU — Elusiveness : Yards over expected, after contact or catch, broken tackles
  • HND — Hands : Drops avoided, catches per target
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2021

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Efficiency50
Usage5
After the catch26
Hands21

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Rushing−0.01

45% of the EPA of his carries (the line gets the rest), above replacement.

Receiving+0.05

25% of the EPA of passes thrown his way (the QB and line get the rest), above replacement.

Jeff Smith: frequently asked questions

What are Jeff Smith's stats in 2021?

Jeff Smith has 8 catches for 113 yards and 0 touchdowns in 12 games in 2021.

How old is Jeff Smith?

Jeff Smith is 29 years old: he was born on April 21, 1997.

How tall is Jeff Smith, and how much does he weigh?

Jeff Smith is 6'1" (185 cm) and weighs 194 lb (88 kg).

Where is Jeff Smith from?

United States: Jeff Smith was born in St. Petersburg, FL, in the United States.

What team does Jeff Smith play for?

Jeff Smith plays for the Arizona Cardinals in the NFL, at WR, wearing number 86.

How good is Jeff Smith?

Jeff Smith produced 0.0 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2021. His PAL rating is 14 out of 100: very poor for his position.

What is Jeff Smith's projection for 2022?

Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2022, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Arizona Cardinals teammates

Full roster →