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36BaseJavelin Guidry headshot

Javelin

Guidry

CB · DET · Very poor

PAL
10
WAR
-0.2
TKL
43

2021№ 72 / 89

Javelin Guidry

#36CBDetroit Lions logoDetroit Lions

Biography

Team
Detroit Lions
Position
Cornerback
Height
5' 9"
Weight
191 lbs
Born
August 6, 1998 (28)
Birthplace
Murrieta, CA
College
Utah
Experience
4th Season
Status
Free Agent

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2021New York Jets174833150000
2020New York Jets11221570400

Javelin Guidry: our analysis

2021 season: 17 GP, 43 TKL, 0.0 SACKS, 1 TFL, 0 INT, 3 PD. WAR -0.2 (72nd of 89) · PAL 10, very poor.

In 2021, Javelin Guidry, 28, posts a PAL Rating of 10 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of -0.2 ranks 72nd among 89 regulars, in the bottom quarter.

His strengths: tackling (83, well above average). On the other hand, coverage (7, among the weakest in the league) and ball skills (14, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (in wins), his biggest contribution: positional (+0.1); his biggest cost: coverage (-0.2).

Advanced stats, 2021 Cornerbacks

NFL stats →

2021 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular cornerbacks: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Interceptions

0

16th percentile

Passes defended

3

5th percentile

Targets in coverage

41

Yards allowed

345 yd

Yards allowed per target

8.4 yd

15th percentile

Passer rating allowed

122.5

4th percentile

Tackles

43

26th percentile

Missed tackle rate

9.4 %

66th percentile

Tackles for loss

1

49th percentile

Defensive snaps

486

6th percentile

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2022 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.0

80% of cases: -0.2 to 0.4

Games

15

WAR 2021

-0.2

Games played

17

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (-2)

  • 2021-0.2 WAR · -0.012 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+23 · 23 y.o. · usually still improving

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2021

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

58

Backup or prospect

COV
Coverage
52
BAL
Ball skills
57
TCK
Tackling
89
DUR
Durability
77
EX
Experience
25
Why these ratings?
  • COV — Coverage : Yards and passer rating allowed per target
  • BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
  • TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2021

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Coverage7
Ball skills14
Splash plays40
Tackling83

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Splash plays−0.02

Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.

Coverage−0.16

Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).

Position share+0.07

Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.

Team defense−0.05

How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.

The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.

Javelin Guidry: frequently asked questions

What are Javelin Guidry's stats in 2021?

Javelin Guidry has 0 interceptions and 3 passes defensed in 17 games in 2021.

How old is Javelin Guidry?

Javelin Guidry is 28 years old: he was born on August 6, 1998.

How tall is Javelin Guidry, and how much does he weigh?

Javelin Guidry is 5'9" (175 cm) and weighs 192 lb (87 kg).

Where is Javelin Guidry from?

United States: Javelin Guidry was born in Murrieta, CA, in the United States.

What team does Javelin Guidry play for?

Javelin Guidry plays for the Detroit Lions in the NFL, at CB, wearing number 36.

How good is Javelin Guidry?

Javelin Guidry produced -0.2 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2021, 78th of 89 players at his position in the NFL. His PAL rating is 10 out of 100: very poor for his position.

Is Javelin Guidry a top-10 player at his position?

No: by WAR, he ranks 78th of 89 players at his position in the NFL in 2021. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.

What is Javelin Guidry's projection for 2022?

Our projection has him at 0.0 WAR in 2022, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Detroit Lions teammates

Full roster →