PickALeague.com
24LegendaryJarren Williams headshot

Jarren

Williams

CB · DET · Elite

PAL
90
WAR
0.3
TKL
17

2021

Jarren Williams

#24CBDetroit Lions logoDetroit Lions

Biography

Team
Detroit Lions
Position
Cornerback
Height
5' 11"
Weight
190 lbs
Born
July 18, 1997 (29)
Birthplace
Lewis Center, OH
College
UAlbany
Experience
2nd Season
Status
Free Agent

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2021New York Giants6181440000
2020New York Giants21010000

Jarren Williams: our analysis

2021 season: 6 GP, 17 TKL, 0.0 SACKS, 0 TFL, 0 INT, 1 PD. WAR 0.3 · PAL 90, elite.

In 2021, Jarren Williams, 29, posts a PAL Rating of 90 out of 100 (elite), with a WAR of 0.3.

His strengths: coverage (100, among the best in the league) and tackling (64, above average). On the other hand, splash plays (19, well below average) and ball skills (22, well below average) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (in wins), his biggest contribution: coverage (+0.3).

Advanced stats, 2021 Cornerbacks

NFL stats →

2021 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular cornerbacks: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Interceptions

0

16th percentile

Passes defended

1

1th percentile

Targets in coverage

21

Yards allowed

53 yd

Yards allowed per target

2.5 yd

100th percentile

Passer rating allowed

46.3

99th percentile

Tackles

17

0th percentile

Missed tackle rate

—

Tackles for loss

0

16th percentile

Defensive snaps

194

0th percentile

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2022 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.1

80% of cases: -0.1 to 0.3

Games

4

WAR 2021

0.3

Games played

6

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (+4)

  • 20210.3 WAR · 0.050 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+29 · 24 y.o. · usually still improving

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2021

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

78

Established starter

COV
Coverage
99
BAL
Ball skills
63
TCK
Tackling
79
DUR
Durability
35
EX
Experience
25
Why these ratings?
  • COV — Coverage : Yards and passer rating allowed per target
  • BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
  • TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2021

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Coverage100
Ball skills22
Splash plays19
Tackling64

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Splash plays−0.05

Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.

Coverage+0.34

Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).

Position share+0.03

Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.

Team defense−0.02

How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.

The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.

Jarren Williams: frequently asked questions

What are Jarren Williams's stats in 2021?

Jarren Williams has 0 interceptions and 1 pass defensed in 6 games in 2021.

How old is Jarren Williams?

Jarren Williams is 29 years old: he was born on July 18, 1997.

How tall is Jarren Williams, and how much does he weigh?

Jarren Williams is 5'11" (180 cm) and weighs 190 lb (86 kg).

Where is Jarren Williams from?

United States: Jarren Williams was born in Lewis Center, OH, in the United States.

What team does Jarren Williams play for?

Jarren Williams plays for the Detroit Lions in the NFL, at CB, wearing number 24.

How good is Jarren Williams?

Jarren Williams produced 0.3 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2021. His PAL rating is 90 out of 100: elite for his position.

What is Jarren Williams's projection for 2022?

Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2022, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Detroit Lions teammates

Full roster →