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J.J.

Watt

DE

#99

J.J. Watt

#99DEArizona Cardinals

Height : 6' 5" · Weight : 288 lbs · Age : 37

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2022Arizona Cardinals163930912.5110
2021Arizona Cardinals7161061100
2020Houston Texans165236165210
2019Houston Texans8241594120
2018Houston Texans1661471416700
2017Houston Texans5151140000
2016Houston Texans38171.5010
2015Houston Texans1676571917.5310
2014Houston Texans1678591920.54559
2013Houston Texans1680651510.5420
2012Houston Texans1681691220.5427
2011Houston Texans16564885.5022

Advanced stats, 2022 Edge rushers

NFL stats →

2022 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular edge rushers: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Sacks

12.5

94th percentile

Pressures

31

82th percentile

QB hits

25

92th percentile

Tackles for loss

17

95th percentile

Tackles

36

57th percentile

Forced fumbles

1

63th percentile

Passes defended

7

94th percentile

Missed tackle rate

2.5 %

90th percentile

Defensive snaps

815

80th percentile

Games

16

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2023 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.2

Games

12

WAR 2022

0.4

Games played

16

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (0)

  • 20210.2 WAR · 0.029 per game
  • 20220.4 WAR · 0.025 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

-30 · 33 y.o. · the age when performance usually declines

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2022

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

77

Established starter

PRS
Pass rush
81
RDF
Run defense
80
TCK
Tackling
71
DUR
Durability
63
EX
Experience
90
Why these ratings?
  • PRS — Pass rush : Pressures, sacks and QB hits, per snap
  • RDF — Run defense : Run tackles and tackles for loss, per snap
  • TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2022

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Pass rush82
Splash plays93
Run defense73
Tackling46

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Splash plays+0.32

Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.

Coverage0.00

Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).

Position share+0.22

Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.

Team defense−0.09

How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.

The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVSacksPrssTFLTkl
2022ARI160.4927712.5311736
2021ARI70.266661.016312

J.J. Watt in five questions

What are J.J. Watt's stats in 2022?

J.J. Watt has 12.5 sacks and 25 QB hits in 16 games in 2022.

How old and how tall is J.J. Watt?

J.J. Watt is 37 years old. He is 6'5" (196 cm) and weighs 289 lb (131 kg).

How good is J.J. Watt?

J.J. Watt produced 0.4 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2022, 9th of 53 players at his position in the NFL. His PAL rating is 92 out of 100: elite for his position.

What number does J.J. Watt wear, and what team does he play for?

J.J. Watt plays for Arizona Cardinals in the NFL, at DE, and wears number 99.

What is J.J. Watt's projection for 2023?

Our projection has him at 0.2 WAR in 2023, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Arizona Cardinals teammates

Full roster →