PickALeague.com
51BaseJ.J. Russell headshot

J.J.

Russell

LB · ARI · Very poor

PAL
5
WAR
-0.1
TKL
31

2024

J.J. Russell

#51LBArizona Cardinals logoArizona Cardinals

Biography

Team
Arizona Cardinals
Position
Linebacker
Height
6' 1"
Weight
225 lbs
Born
October 12, 1998 (28)
Birthplace
Grenada, MS
College
Memphis
Experience
4th Season
Status
Free Agent

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2024Tampa Bay Buccaneers163320130010
2023Tampa Bay Buccaneers810731000
2022Tampa Bay Buccaneers66330000

J.J. Russell: our analysis

2024 season: 16 GP, 31 TKL, 0.0 SACKS, 0 TFL, 0 INT, 1 PD. WAR -0.1 · PAL 5, very poor.

In 2024, J.J. Russell, 28, posts a PAL Rating of 5 out of 100 (very poor), with a WAR of -0.1.

On the other hand, run defense (4, among the weakest in the league) and splash plays (6, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (in wins), no component is positive; the costliest: coverage (-0.1).

Advanced stats, 2024 Linebackers

NFL stats →

2024 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular linebackers: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Tackles

31

7th percentile

Tackles for loss

0

1th percentile

Sacks

0.0

5th percentile

Pressures

1

2th percentile

Interceptions

0

29th percentile

Passes defended

1

16th percentile

Yards allowed per target

8.4 yd

16th percentile

Passer rating allowed

115.7

8th percentile

Missed tackle rate

8.3 %

45th percentile

Defensive snaps

249

0th percentile

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2025 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.0

80% of cases: -0.2 to 0.3

Games

13

WAR 2024

-0.1

Games played

16

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (-2)

  • 2024-0.1 WAR · -0.006 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+8 · 25 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2024

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

49

Backup or prospect

TCK
Tackling
72
COV
Coverage
64
RDF
Run defense
52
PRS
Pass rush
72
DUR
Durability
49
EX
Experience
40
Why these ratings?
  • TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
  • COV — Coverage : Yards and passer rating allowed per target
  • RDF — Run defense : Run tackles and tackles for loss, per snap
  • PRS — Pass rush : Pressures, sacks and QB hits, per snap
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2024

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Tackling43
Coverage21
Run defense4
Splash plays6
Pass rush33

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Splash plays−0.07

Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.

Coverage−0.08

Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).

Position share+0.02

Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.

Team defense+0.01

How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.

The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.

J.J. Russell: frequently asked questions

What are J.J. Russell's stats in 2024?

J.J. Russell has 0 sacks and 0 QB hits in 16 games in 2024.

How old is J.J. Russell?

J.J. Russell is 28 years old: he was born on October 12, 1998.

How tall is J.J. Russell, and how much does he weigh?

J.J. Russell is 6'1" (185 cm) and weighs 225 lb (102 kg).

Where is J.J. Russell from?

United States: J.J. Russell was born in Grenada, MS, in the United States.

What team does J.J. Russell play for?

J.J. Russell plays for the Arizona Cardinals in the NFL, at LB, wearing number 51.

How good is J.J. Russell?

J.J. Russell produced -0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2024. His PAL rating is 5 out of 100: very poor for his position.

What is J.J. Russell's projection for 2025?

Our projection has him at 0.0 WAR in 2025, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Arizona Cardinals teammates

Full roster →