J.D.
McKissic
RB · WAS · Very poor
- PAL
- 19
- WAR
- -0.1
- YDS
- 95
2022
J.D. McKissic
Washington CommandersBiography
- Team
- Washington Commanders
- Position
- Running Back
- Height
- 5' 10"
- Weight
- 195 lbs
- Born
- August 15, 1993 (33)
- Birthplace
- Phenix City, AL
- College
- Arkansas State
- Experience
- 6th Season
- Status
- Free Agent
Career history
- Washington Commanders · 2020 – 2022 (3 seasons)
- Detroit Lions · 2019 (1 season)
- Seattle Seahawks · 2016 – 2018 (3 seasons)
NFL record
| Year | Team | GP | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LNG | FD | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Washington Commanders | 8 | 22 | 95 | 4.3 | 0 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 2021 | Washington Commanders | 11 | 48 | 212 | 4.4 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 2020 | Washington Commanders | 16 | 85 | 365 | 4.3 | 1 | 17 | 25 | 1 |
| 2019 | Detroit Lions | 16 | 38 | 205 | 5.4 | 0 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 2018 | Seattle Seahawks | 5 | 3 | 8 | 2.7 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 2017 | Seattle Seahawks | 13 | 46 | 187 | 4.1 | 1 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 2016 | Seattle Seahawks | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
J.D. McKissic: our analysis
2022 season: 8 GP, 22 CAR, 95 YDS, 0 TD, 27 REC, 173 REC YDS. WAR -0.1 · PAL 19, very poor.
In 2022, J.D. McKissic, 33, posts a PAL Rating of 19 out of 100 (very poor), with a WAR of -0.1.
On the other hand, rushing (28, below average) and receiving (32, below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (in wins), no component is positive; the costliest: receiving (-0.1).
A marked decline: his PAL was 69 in 2021, against 19 now; his WAR went from 0.2 to -0.1.
Advanced stats, 2022 Running backs
NFL stats →2022 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular running backs: 90th means better than 90% of them.
EPA per carry
−0.18
11th percentile
Rush yards over expected
—
Carries
22
0th percentile
Rushing yards
95
0th percentile
Yards per carry
4.3
43th percentile
Rushing TDs
0
0th percentile
Targets
40
45th percentile
Receiving yards
173
36th percentile
EPA per target
−0.42
6th percentile
Games
8
Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.
2023 projection
NFL trends →Projected WAR
0.0
80% of cases: -0.1 to 0.2
Games
9
WAR 2022
-0.1
Games played
8
The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.
Trend
→ Stable (-7)
- 20210.2 WAR · 0.018 per game
- 2022-0.1 WAR · -0.013 per game
The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.
Outlook, age included
-7 · 29 y.o. · prime years
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.
Player ratings, 2022
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.
OV · Overall
48
Backup or prospect
- RUN
- Rushing
- 70
- ELU
- Elusiveness
- 59
- REC
- Receiving
- 65
- BAL
- Ball skills
- 78
- DUR
- Durability
- 35
- EX
- Experience
- 70
Why these ratings?Hide details
- RUN — Rushing : Expected points added and success rate per carry
- ELU — Elusiveness : Yards over expected, after contact or catch, broken tackles
- REC — Receiving : Expected points added and yards per target
- BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
- DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
- EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL
WAR and PAL Rating, 2022
How we rate →WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).
PAL: dimensions
Where WAR comes from (in wins)
45% of the EPA of his carries (the line gets the rest), above replacement.
25% of the EPA of passes thrown his way (the QB and line get the rest), above replacement.
| Season | Team | G | WAR | PAL | OV | Rush yds | TD | Rec yds | EPA/car |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | WAS | 8 | -0.1 | 19 | 48 | 95 | 0 | 173 | −0.18 |
| 2021 | WAS | 11 | 0.2 | 69 | 72 | 212 | 2 | 397 | +0.06 |
J.D. McKissic: frequently asked questions
What are J.D. McKissic's stats in 2022?
J.D. McKissic has 95 rushing yards, 0 rushing touchdowns and 27 catches in 8 games in 2022.
How old is J.D. McKissic?
J.D. McKissic is 33 years old: he was born on August 15, 1993.
How tall is J.D. McKissic, and how much does he weigh?
J.D. McKissic is 5'10" (178 cm) and weighs 194 lb (88 kg).
Where is J.D. McKissic from?
United States: J.D. McKissic was born in Phenix City, AL, in the United States.
What team does J.D. McKissic play for?
J.D. McKissic plays for the Washington Commanders in the NFL, at RB, wearing number 23.
How good is J.D. McKissic?
J.D. McKissic produced -0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2022. His PAL rating is 19 out of 100: very poor for his position.
Is J.D. McKissic getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 69 in 2021 to 19 in 2022 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
What is J.D. McKissic's projection for 2023?
Our projection has him at 0.0 WAR in 2023, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.
