Henry
Black
S · ATL · Below average
- PAL
- 24
- WAR
- -0.3
- TKL
- 36
2021
Henry Black
#32S
Atlanta Falcons
Biography
- Team
- Atlanta Falcons
- Position
- Safety
- Height
- 6' 0"
- Weight
- 204 lbs
- Born
- January 3, 1997 (29)
- Birthplace
- Shreveport, LA
- College
- Baylor
- Experience
- 3rd Season
- Status
- Free Agent
NFL record
| Year | Team | GP | TOT | SOLO | AST | SACK | FF | FR | YDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Green Bay Packers | 17 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020 | Green Bay Packers | 8 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Henry Black: our analysis
2021 season: 17 GP, 36 TKL, 0.0 SACKS, 0 TFL, 1 INT, 2 PD. WAR -0.3 · PAL 24, below average.
In 2021, Henry Black, 29, posts a PAL Rating of 24 out of 100 (below average), with a WAR of -0.3.
On the other hand, coverage (8, among the weakest in the league) holds him back.
Breaking down his WAR (in wins), no component is positive; the costliest: coverage (-0.3).
Advanced stats, 2021 Safeties
NFL stats →2021 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular safeties: 90th means better than 90% of them.
Tackles
36
4th percentile
Interceptions
1
31th percentile
Passes defended
2
9th percentile
Targets in coverage
29
Yards allowed
322 yd
Yards allowed per target
11.1 yd
7th percentile
Passer rating allowed
117.3
15th percentile
Missed tackle rate
11.6 %
30th percentile
Tackles for loss
0
11th percentile
Defensive snaps
262
0th percentile
Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.
2022 projection
NFL trends →Projected WAR
-0.1
80% of cases: -0.5 to 0.2
Games
14
WAR 2021
-0.3
Games played
17
The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.
Trend
→ Stable (-2)
- 2021-0.3 WAR · -0.018 per game
The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.
Outlook, age included
+23 · 24 y.o. · usually still improving
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.
Player ratings, 2021
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.
OV · Overall
59
Backup or prospect
- COV
- Coverage
- 54
- BAL
- Ball skills
- 76
- TCK
- Tackling
- 73
- DUR
- Durability
- 66
- EX
- Experience
- 25
Why these ratings?Hide details
- COV — Coverage : Yards and passer rating allowed per target
- BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
- TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
- DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
- EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL
WAR and PAL Rating, 2021
How we rate →WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).
PAL: dimensions
Where WAR comes from (in wins)
Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.
Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).
Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.
How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.
The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.
Henry Black: frequently asked questions
What are Henry Black's stats in 2021?
Henry Black has 1 interception and 2 passes defensed in 17 games in 2021.
How old is Henry Black?
Henry Black is 29 years old: he was born on January 3, 1997.
How tall is Henry Black, and how much does he weigh?
Henry Black is 6'0" (183 cm) and weighs 205 lb (93 kg).
Where is Henry Black from?
United States: Henry Black was born in Shreveport, LA, in the United States.
What team does Henry Black play for?
Henry Black plays for the Atlanta Falcons in the NFL, at S, wearing number 32.
How good is Henry Black?
Henry Black produced -0.3 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2021. His PAL rating is 24 out of 100: below average for his position.
What is Henry Black's projection for 2022?
Our projection has him at -0.1 WAR in 2022, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.
