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Duke

Shelley

CB

#34

Duke Shelley

#34CBIndianapolis Colts

Height : 5' 9" · Weight : 176 lbs · Age : 29

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2024New York Giants11100000
2023Los Angeles Rams118710019
2022Minnesota Vikings11312380000
2021Chicago Bears10373070000
2020Chicago Bears1116970000

Advanced stats, 2022 Cornerbacks

NFL stats →

2022 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular cornerbacks: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Interceptions

1

51th percentile

Passes defended

8

57th percentile

Targets in coverage

46

Yards allowed

266 yd

Yards allowed per target

5.8 yd

86th percentile

Passer rating allowed

55.2

96th percentile

Tackles

29

4th percentile

Missed tackle rate

3.1 %

92th percentile

Tackles for loss

0

9th percentile

Defensive snaps

397

0th percentile

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2023 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.1

Games

11

WAR 2022

0.3

Games played

11

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

↑ Slightly up (+10)

  • 2021-0.2 WAR · -0.020 per game
  • 20220.3 WAR · 0.027 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+20 · 25 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2022

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

78

Established starter

COV
Coverage
80
BAL
Ball skills
77
TCK
Tackling
83
DUR
Durability
59
EX
Experience
50
Why these ratings?
  • COV — Coverage : Yards and passer rating allowed per target
  • BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
  • TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2022

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Coverage92
Ball skills75
Splash plays25
Tackling79

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Splash plays−0.04

Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.

Coverage+0.22

Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).

Position share+0.06

Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.

Team defense+0.03

How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.

The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVINTPDYds/tgtRtg allowed
2022MIN110.38978185.855.2
2021CHI10-0.2935038.6100.0

Duke Shelley in five questions

What are Duke Shelley's stats in 2022?

Duke Shelley has 1 interception and 8 passes defensed in 11 games in 2022.

How old and how tall is Duke Shelley?

Duke Shelley is 29 years old. He is 5'9" (175 cm) and weighs 176 lb (80 kg).

How good is Duke Shelley?

Duke Shelley produced 0.3 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2022. His PAL rating is 89 out of 100: excellent for his position.

What number does Duke Shelley wear, and what team does he play for?

Duke Shelley plays for Indianapolis Colts in the NFL, at CB, and wears number 34.

What is Duke Shelley's projection for 2023?

Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2023, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Indianapolis Colts teammates

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