Duke
Johnson
RB

#22
Duke Johnson
#22RB
Buffalo Bills
Height : 5' 9" · Weight : 210 lbs · Age : 33
NFL record
| Year | Team | GP | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LNG | FD | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Buffalo Bills | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 2021 | Miami Dolphins | 5 | 71 | 330 | 4.6 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 2020 | Houston Texans | 11 | 77 | 235 | 3.1 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 2 |
| 2019 | Houston Texans | 16 | 83 | 410 | 4.9 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 1 |
| 2018 | Cleveland Browns | 16 | 40 | 201 | 5.0 | 0 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 2017 | Cleveland Browns | 16 | 82 | 348 | 4.2 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 1 |
| 2016 | Cleveland Browns | 16 | 73 | 358 | 4.9 | 1 | 22 | 17 | 1 |
| 2015 | Cleveland Browns | 16 | 104 | 379 | 3.6 | 0 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
Advanced stats, 2021 Running backs
NFL stats →2021 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular running backs: 90th means better than 90% of them.
EPA per carry
−0.02
61th percentile
Rush yards over expected
—
Carries
71
0th percentile
Rushing yards
330
0th percentile
Yards per carry
4.6
78th percentile
Rushing TDs
3
21th percentile
Targets
5
0th percentile
Receiving yards
41
0th percentile
EPA per target
+0.39
90th percentile
Games
5
Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.
2022 projection
NFL trends →Projected WAR
0.0
Games
8
WAR 2021
0.1
Games played
5
The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.
Trend
→ Stable (+6)
- 20210.1 WAR · 0.020 per game
The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.
Outlook, age included
+16 · 27 y.o. · prime years
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.
Player ratings, 2021
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.
OV · Overall
70
Established starter
- RUN
- Rushing
- 63
- ELU
- Elusiveness
- 81
- REC
- Receiving
- 85
- BAL
- Ball skills
- 64
- DUR
- Durability
- 48
- EX
- Experience
- 70
Why these ratings?Hide details
- RUN — Rushing : Expected points added and success rate per carry
- ELU — Elusiveness : Yards over expected, after contact or catch, broken tackles
- REC — Receiving : Expected points added and yards per target
- BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
- DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
- EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL
WAR and PAL Rating, 2021
How we rate →WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).
PAL: dimensions
Where WAR comes from (in wins)
45% of the EPA of his carries (the line gets the rest), above replacement.
25% of the EPA of passes thrown his way (the QB and line get the rest), above replacement.
Duke Johnson in five questions
What are Duke Johnson's stats in 2021?
Duke Johnson has 330 rushing yards, 3 rushing touchdowns and 4 catches in 5 games in 2021.
How old and how tall is Duke Johnson?
Duke Johnson is 33 years old. He is 5'9" (175 cm) and weighs 209 lb (95 kg).
How good is Duke Johnson?
Duke Johnson produced 0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2021. His PAL rating is 71 out of 100: very good for his position.
What number does Duke Johnson wear, and what team does he play for?
Duke Johnson plays for Buffalo Bills in the NFL, at RB, and wears number 22.
What is Duke Johnson's projection for 2022?
Our projection has him at 0.0 WAR in 2022, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.





