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Duke

Johnson

RB

#22

Duke Johnson

#22RBBuffalo Bills

Height : 5' 9" · Weight : 210 lbs · Age : 33

NFL record

YearTeamGPCARYDSAVGTDLNGFDFUM
2022Buffalo Bills1242.00410
2021Miami Dolphins5713304.6327180
2020Houston Texans11772353.1123112
2019Houston Texans16834104.9240171
2018Cleveland Browns16402015.002390
2017Cleveland Browns16823484.2419261
2016Cleveland Browns16733584.9122171
2015Cleveland Browns161043793.6039190

Advanced stats, 2021 Running backs

NFL stats →

2021 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular running backs: 90th means better than 90% of them.

EPA per carry

−0.02

61th percentile

Rush yards over expected

—

Carries

71

0th percentile

Rushing yards

330

0th percentile

Yards per carry

4.6

78th percentile

Rushing TDs

3

21th percentile

Targets

5

0th percentile

Receiving yards

41

0th percentile

EPA per target

+0.39

90th percentile

Games

5

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2022 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.0

Games

8

WAR 2021

0.1

Games played

5

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (+6)

  • 20210.1 WAR · 0.020 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+16 · 27 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2021

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

70

Established starter

RUN
Rushing
63
ELU
Elusiveness
81
REC
Receiving
85
BAL
Ball skills
64
DUR
Durability
48
EX
Experience
70
Why these ratings?
  • RUN — Rushing : Expected points added and success rate per carry
  • ELU — Elusiveness : Yards over expected, after contact or catch, broken tackles
  • REC — Receiving : Expected points added and yards per target
  • BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2021

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Rushing49
Creation90
Receiving31
Ball security61

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Rushing+0.05

45% of the EPA of his carries (the line gets the rest), above replacement.

Receiving+0.02

25% of the EPA of passes thrown his way (the QB and line get the rest), above replacement.

Duke Johnson in five questions

What are Duke Johnson's stats in 2021?

Duke Johnson has 330 rushing yards, 3 rushing touchdowns and 4 catches in 5 games in 2021.

How old and how tall is Duke Johnson?

Duke Johnson is 33 years old. He is 5'9" (175 cm) and weighs 209 lb (95 kg).

How good is Duke Johnson?

Duke Johnson produced 0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2021. His PAL rating is 71 out of 100: very good for his position.

What number does Duke Johnson wear, and what team does he play for?

Duke Johnson plays for Buffalo Bills in the NFL, at RB, and wears number 22.

What is Duke Johnson's projection for 2022?

Our projection has him at 0.0 WAR in 2022, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Buffalo Bills teammates

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