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Dontrell

Hilliard

RB · TEN · Below average

PAL
38
WAR
0.1
YDS
145

2022

Dontrell Hilliard

#40RBTennessee Titans logoTennessee Titans

Biography

Team
Tennessee Titans
Position
Running Back
Height
5' 11"
Weight
202 lbs
Born
February 26, 1995 (31)
Birthplace
Baton Rouge, LA
College
Tulane
Experience
5th Season
Status
Free Agent

Career history

  • Tennessee Titans · 2021 – 2022 (2 seasons)
  • 2020 Totals · 2020 (1 season)
  • Houston Texans · 2020 (1 season)
  • Cleveland Browns · 2018 – 2020 (3 seasons)

NFL record

YearTeamGPCARYDSAVGTDLNGFDFUM
2022Tennessee Titans12221456.603040
2021Tennessee Titans8563506.3268151
20202020 Totals79485.301930
2020Houston Texans2-------
2020Cleveland Browns59485.301930
2019Cleveland Browns1413493.821130
2018Cleveland Browns11000.00000

Dontrell Hilliard: our analysis

2022 season: 12 GP, 22 CAR, 145 YDS, 0 TD, 21 REC, 177 REC YDS. WAR 0.1 · PAL 38, below average.

In 2022, Dontrell Hilliard, 31, posts a PAL Rating of 38 out of 100 (below average), with a WAR of 0.1.

On the other hand, creation (23, well below average) and rushing (38, below average) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (in wins), his biggest contribution: receiving (+0.1).

A marked decline: his PAL was 55 in 2021, against 38 now; his WAR, though, went from 0.1 to 0.1.

Advanced stats, 2022 Running backs

NFL stats →

2022 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular running backs: 90th means better than 90% of them.

EPA per carry

+0.03

85th percentile

Rush yards over expected

—

Carries

22

0th percentile

Rushing yards

145

0th percentile

Yards per carry

6.6

100th percentile

Rushing TDs

0

0th percentile

Targets

26

23th percentile

Receiving yards

177

36th percentile

EPA per target

+0.22

89th percentile

Games

12

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2023 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.1

80% of cases: -0.1 to 0.2

Games

10

WAR 2022

0.1

Games played

12

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (-2)

  • 20210.1 WAR · 0.013 per game
  • 20220.1 WAR · 0.008 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+8 · 27 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2022

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

73

Established starter

RUN
Rushing
79
ELU
Elusiveness
70
REC
Receiving
76
BAL
Ball skills
73
DUR
Durability
35
EX
Experience
58
Why these ratings?
  • RUN — Rushing : Expected points added and success rate per carry
  • ELU — Elusiveness : Yards over expected, after contact or catch, broken tackles
  • REC — Receiving : Expected points added and yards per target
  • BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2022

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Rushing38
Creation23
Receiving60
Ball security53

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Rushing+0.03

45% of the EPA of his carries (the line gets the rest), above replacement.

Receiving+0.06

25% of the EPA of passes thrown his way (the QB and line get the rest), above replacement.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVRush ydsTDRec ydsEPA/car
2022TEN120.138731450177+0.03
2021TEN80.15567350287+0.16

Dontrell Hilliard: frequently asked questions

What are Dontrell Hilliard's stats in 2022?

Dontrell Hilliard has 145 rushing yards, 0 rushing touchdowns and 21 catches in 12 games in 2022.

How old is Dontrell Hilliard?

Dontrell Hilliard is 31 years old: he was born on February 26, 1995.

How tall is Dontrell Hilliard, and how much does he weigh?

Dontrell Hilliard is 5'11" (180 cm) and weighs 203 lb (92 kg).

Where is Dontrell Hilliard from?

United States: Dontrell Hilliard was born in Baton Rouge, LA, in the United States.

What team does Dontrell Hilliard play for?

Dontrell Hilliard plays for the Tennessee Titans in the NFL, at RB, wearing number 40.

How good is Dontrell Hilliard?

Dontrell Hilliard produced 0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2022. His PAL rating is 38 out of 100: below average for his position.

Is Dontrell Hilliard getting better?

No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 55 in 2021 to 38 in 2022 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

What is Dontrell Hilliard's projection for 2023?

Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2023, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Tennessee Titans teammates

Full roster →