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Dean

Marlowe

S · LAC · Very poor

PAL
11
WAR
-0.2
TKL
37

2023

Dean Marlowe

#20SLos Angeles Chargers logoLos Angeles Chargers

Biography

Team
Los Angeles Chargers
Position
Safety
Height
6' 1"
Weight
205 lbs
Born
July 25, 1992 (34)
Birthplace
Queens, NY
College
James Madison
Experience
7th Season
Status
Free Agent

Career history

  • Los Angeles Chargers · 2023 (1 season)
  • 2022 Totals · 2022 (1 season)
  • Buffalo Bills · 2022 (1 season)
  • Atlanta Falcons · 2022 (1 season)
  • Detroit Lions · 2021 (1 season)
  • Buffalo Bills · 2018 – 2020 (3 seasons)

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2023Los Angeles Chargers16403281000
20222022 Totals12141040000
2022Buffalo Bills43300000
2022Atlanta Falcons811740000
2021Detroit Lions166737300010
2020Buffalo Bills15221661.5010
2019Buffalo Bills9111010000
2018Buffalo Bills25410000

Dean Marlowe: our analysis

2023 season: 16 GP, 37 TKL, 1.0 SACKS, 1 TFL, 0 INT, 0 PD. WAR -0.2 · PAL 11, very poor.

In 2023, Dean Marlowe, 34, posts a PAL Rating of 11 out of 100 (very poor), with a WAR of -0.2.

His strengths: tackling (84, well above average). On the other hand, coverage (3, among the weakest in the league) and ball skills (13, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (in wins), no component is positive; the costliest: coverage (-0.2).

A clear step forward: his PAL went from 1 in 2022 to 11; his WAR went from -0.3 to -0.2.

Advanced stats, 2023 Safeties

NFL stats →

2023 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular safeties: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Tackles

37

8th percentile

Interceptions

0

13th percentile

Passes defended

0

2th percentile

Targets in coverage

18

Yards allowed

197 yd

Yards allowed per target

10.9 yd

8th percentile

Passer rating allowed

130.8

5th percentile

Missed tackle rate

7.0 %

66th percentile

Tackles for loss

1

44th percentile

Defensive snaps

297

0th percentile

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2024 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

-0.2

80% of cases: -0.6 to 0.1

Games

15

WAR 2023

-0.2

Games played

16

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (+4)

  • 2021-0.3 WAR · -0.019 per game
  • 2022-0.3 WAR · -0.025 per game
  • 2023-0.2 WAR · -0.013 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

-11 · 31 y.o. · the age when performance usually declines

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2023

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

59

Backup or prospect

COV
Coverage
45
BAL
Ball skills
48
TCK
Tackling
78
DUR
Durability
76
EX
Experience
79
Why these ratings?
  • COV — Coverage : Yards and passer rating allowed per target
  • BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
  • TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2023

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Coverage3
Ball skills13
Tackling84
Splash plays24

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Splash plays−0.04

Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.

Coverage−0.18

Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).

Position share+0.03

Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.

Team defense−0.01

How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.

The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVTklINTPDYds/tgt
2023LAC16-0.21159370010.9
2022BUF12-0.3145120020.9
2021DET16-0.316659029.7

Dean Marlowe: frequently asked questions

What are Dean Marlowe's stats in 2023?

Dean Marlowe has 0 interceptions and 0 passes defensed in 16 games in 2023.

How old is Dean Marlowe?

Dean Marlowe is 34 years old: he was born on July 25, 1992.

How tall is Dean Marlowe, and how much does he weigh?

Dean Marlowe is 6'1" (185 cm) and weighs 205 lb (93 kg).

Where is Dean Marlowe from?

United States: Dean Marlowe was born in Queens, NY, in the United States.

What team does Dean Marlowe play for?

Dean Marlowe plays for the Los Angeles Chargers in the NFL, at S, wearing number 20.

How good is Dean Marlowe?

Dean Marlowe produced -0.2 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2023. His PAL rating is 11 out of 100: very poor for his position.

Is Dean Marlowe getting better?

Yes: his PAL rating went from 1 in 2022 to 11 in 2023 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

What is Dean Marlowe's projection for 2024?

Our projection has him at -0.2 WAR in 2024, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Los Angeles Chargers teammates

Full roster →