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Davis

Mills

QB

#10

Davis Mills

#10QBHouston Texans

Height : 6' 4" · Weight : 225 lbs · Age : 27

NFL record

YearTeamGPCMPATTCMP%YDSAVGTDINT
2025Houston Texans69115957.29155.851
2024Houston Texans4203655.62125.900
2023Houston Texans6183946.21734.420
2022Houston Texans1529247961.03,1186.51715
2021Houston Texans1326339466.82,6646.81610
2026 cap number
8.13 M$
Average per year
7.00 M$
Total value
7.0 M$
Seasons left
1 · through 2026

Cap number: the season's salary plus the share of the signing bonus spread over the contract. Total value and average per year cover the whole contract, from its signing.

Advanced stats, 2025 Quarterbacks

NFL stats →

2025 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular quarterbacks: 90th means better than 90% of them.

EPA per dropback

−0.08

17th percentile

CPOE

−6.6 %

0th percentile

Passing yards

915

0th percentile

Completion %

57.2 %

3th percentile

Yards per attempt

5.8

0th percentile

Passing TDs

5

0th percentile

Interceptions

1

99th percentile

Sacks taken

8

100th percentile

Rushing yards

60

18th percentile

Games

6

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2026 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.1

Games

5

WAR 2025

-0.1

Games played

6

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (+1)

  • 2021-0.7 WAR · -0.054 per game
  • 2022-0.7 WAR · -0.047 per game
  • 2025-0.1 WAR · -0.017 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+11 · 26 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2025

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

56

Backup or prospect

PAS
Passing
56
ACC
Accuracy
35
DEC
Decisions
87
DEP
Deep ball
66
MOB
Mobility
66
DUR
Durability
35
EX
Experience
58
Why these ratings?
  • PAS — Passing : Expected points added per dropback, success rate
  • ACC — Accuracy : Completion percentage over expected (CPOE), on-target throws
  • DEC — Decisions : Interceptions and sacks avoided
  • DEP — Deep ball : Production on throws of 20+ air yards
  • MOB — Mobility : Value of his runs
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2025

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Passing14
Accuracy8
Decisions86
Deep passing39
Rushing22

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Passing−0.08

60% of the EPA of his throws to a receiver, 75% of his sacks, throwaways and scrambles, above replacement.

Rushing−0.01

45% of the EPA of his carries (the line gets the rest), above replacement.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVPass ydsTDINTEPA/db
2025HOU6-0.1195691551−0.08
2022HOU15-0.75543,1181715−0.13
2021HOU13-0.717622,6641610−0.13

Davis Mills in five questions

What are Davis Mills's stats in 2025?

Davis Mills has 915 passing yards, 5 touchdown passes and 1 interception in 6 games in 2025.

How old and how tall is Davis Mills?

Davis Mills is 27 years old. He is 6'4" (193 cm) and weighs 225 lb (102 kg).

How good is Davis Mills?

Davis Mills produced -0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025. His PAL rating is 19 out of 100: very poor for his position.

How much does Davis Mills make?

Davis Mills earns $7.0M for the 2025 season. His Value Rating is 23 out of 100 (very poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.

What number does Davis Mills wear, and what team does he play for?

Davis Mills plays for Houston Texans in the NFL, at QB, and wears number 10.

See also: his Houston Texans teammates

Full roster →