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34RareDarrel Williams headshot

Darrel

Williams

RB · NO · Very good

PAL
77
WAR
0.4
YDS
558

2021№ 2 / 49

Darrel Williams

#34RBNew Orleans Saints logoNew Orleans Saints

Biography

Team
New Orleans Saints
Position
Running Back
Height
5' 11"
Weight
224 lbs
Born
April 15, 1995 (31)
Birthplace
Marrero, LA
College
LSU
Experience
6th Season
Status
Free Agent

Career history

  • Arizona Cardinals · 2022 (1 season)
  • Kansas City Chiefs · 2018 – 2021 (4 seasons)

NFL record

YearTeamGPCARYDSAVGTDLNGFDFUM
2022Arizona Cardinals6211024.913080
2021Kansas City Chiefs171445583.9621400
2020Kansas City Chiefs16391694.3113140
2019Kansas City Chiefs12411413.4341121
2018Kansas City Chiefs613443.40830

Darrel Williams: our analysis

2021 season: 17 GP, 144 CAR, 558 YDS, 6 TD, 47 REC, 452 REC YDS. WAR 0.4 (2nd of 49) · PAL 77, very good.

In 2021, Darrel Williams, 31, posts a PAL Rating of 77 out of 100 (very good), and his WAR of 0.4 ranks 2nd among 49 regulars, among the league's elite.

His strengths: rushing (91, among the best in the league), receiving (91, among the best in the league) and ball security (83, well above average). On the other hand, creation (3, among the weakest in the league) holds him back.

Breaking down his WAR (in wins), his biggest contribution: rushing (+0.2).

Advanced stats, 2021 Running backs

NFL stats →

2021 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular running backs: 90th means better than 90% of them.

EPA per carry

+0.03

85th percentile

Rush yards over expected

−0.59 yd/att

10th percentile

Carries

144

32th percentile

Rushing yards

558

19th percentile

Yards per carry

3.9

23th percentile

Rushing TDs

6

62th percentile

Targets

57

76th percentile

Receiving yards

452

90th percentile

EPA per target

+0.36

89th percentile

Games

17

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2022 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.2

80% of cases: -0.1 to 0.4

Games

17

WAR 2021

0.4

Games played

17

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (+5)

  • 20210.4 WAR · 0.024 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+15 · 26 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2021

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

86

High-end

RUN
Rushing
87
ELU
Elusiveness
45
REC
Receiving
89
BAL
Ball skills
82
DUR
Durability
93
EX
Experience
50
Why these ratings?
  • RUN — Rushing : Expected points added and success rate per carry
  • ELU — Elusiveness : Yards over expected, after contact or catch, broken tackles
  • REC — Receiving : Expected points added and yards per target
  • BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2021

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Rushing91
Creation3
Receiving91
Ball security83

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Rushing+0.20

45% of the EPA of his carries (the line gets the rest), above replacement.

Receiving+0.18

25% of the EPA of passes thrown his way (the QB and line get the rest), above replacement.

Darrel Williams: frequently asked questions

What are Darrel Williams's stats in 2021?

Darrel Williams has 558 rushing yards, 6 rushing touchdowns and 47 catches in 17 games in 2021.

How old is Darrel Williams?

Darrel Williams is 31 years old: he was born on April 15, 1995.

How tall is Darrel Williams, and how much does he weigh?

Darrel Williams is 5'11" (180 cm) and weighs 225 lb (102 kg).

Where is Darrel Williams from?

United States: Darrel Williams was born in Marrero, LA, in the United States.

What team does Darrel Williams play for?

Darrel Williams plays for the New Orleans Saints in the NFL, at RB, wearing number 34.

How good is Darrel Williams?

Darrel Williams produced 0.4 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2021, 3rd of 49 players at his position in the NFL. His PAL rating is 77 out of 100: very good for his position.

Is Darrel Williams a top-10 player at his position?

Yes: by WAR, he ranks 3rd of 49 players at his position in the NFL in 2021. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.

What is Darrel Williams's projection for 2022?

Our projection has him at 0.2 WAR in 2022, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his New Orleans Saints teammates

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