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36BaseDanny Johnson headshot

Danny

Johnson

CB · WAS · Very poor

PAL
9
WAR
-0.2
TKL
15

2023

Danny Johnson

#36CBWashington Commanders logoWashington Commanders

Biography

Team
Washington Commanders
Position
Cornerback
Height
5' 9"
Weight
190 lbs
Born
November 17, 1995 (30)
Birthplace
East Feliciana, LA
College
Southern
Experience
6th Season
Status
Free Agent

Career history

  • Washington Commanders · 2019 – 2023 (5 seasons)
  • Washington Redskins · 2018 (1 season)

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2023Washington Commanders13171340000
2022Washington Commanders11292091000
2021Washington Commanders12211560100
2020Washington Commanders144310000
2019Washington Commanders2111010000
2018Washington Redskins1414950000

Danny Johnson: our analysis

2023 season: 13 GP, 15 TKL, 0.0 SACKS, 0 TFL, 0 INT, 1 PD. WAR -0.2 · PAL 9, very poor.

In 2023, Danny Johnson, 30, posts a PAL Rating of 9 out of 100 (very poor), with a WAR of -0.2.

On the other hand, tackling (8, among the weakest in the league) and coverage (13, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (in wins), no component is positive; the costliest: coverage (-0.2).

A marked decline: his PAL was 100 in 2022, against 9 now; his WAR went from 0.7 to -0.2.

Advanced stats, 2023 Safeties

NFL stats →

2023 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular safeties: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Tackles

15

0th percentile

Interceptions

0

13th percentile

Passes defended

1

5th percentile

Targets in coverage

22

Yards allowed

217 yd

Yards allowed per target

9.9 yd

16th percentile

Passer rating allowed

143.4

1th percentile

Missed tackle rate

19.0 %

1th percentile

Tackles for loss

0

15th percentile

Defensive snaps

208

0th percentile

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2024 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.1

80% of cases: -0.2 to 0.4

Games

12

WAR 2023

-0.2

Games played

13

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

↓ Slight decline (-18)

  • 20210.0 WAR · 0.000 per game
  • 20220.7 WAR · 0.064 per game
  • 2023-0.2 WAR · -0.015 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

-8 · 27 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2023

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

60

Depth player

COV
Coverage
77
BAL
Ball skills
66
TCK
Tackling
58
DUR
Durability
59
EX
Experience
65
Why these ratings?
  • COV — Coverage : Yards and passer rating allowed per target
  • BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
  • TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2023

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Coverage13
Ball skills22
Tackling8
Splash plays40

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Splash plays−0.01

Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.

Coverage−0.15

Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).

Position share+0.02

Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.

Team defense−0.01

How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.

The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVTklINTPDYds/tgt
2023WAS13-0.296015019.9
2022WAS110.71008225194.3
2021WAS120.0266121027.5

Danny Johnson: frequently asked questions

What are Danny Johnson's stats in 2023?

Danny Johnson has 0 interceptions and 1 pass defensed in 13 games in 2023.

How old is Danny Johnson?

Danny Johnson is 30 years old: he was born on November 17, 1995.

How tall is Danny Johnson, and how much does he weigh?

Danny Johnson is 5'9" (175 cm) and weighs 190 lb (86 kg).

Where is Danny Johnson from?

United States: Danny Johnson was born in East Feliciana, LA, in the United States.

What team does Danny Johnson play for?

Danny Johnson plays for the Washington Commanders in the NFL, at CB, wearing number 36.

How good is Danny Johnson?

Danny Johnson produced -0.2 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2023. His PAL rating is 9 out of 100: very poor for his position.

Is Danny Johnson getting better?

No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 100 in 2022 to 9 in 2023 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

What is Danny Johnson's projection for 2024?

Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2024, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Washington Commanders teammates

Full roster →