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46BaseDan Arnold headshot

Dan

Arnold

TE · PHI · Around average

PAL
51
WAR
0.0
YDS
135

2022

Dan Arnold

#46TEPhiladelphia Eagles logoPhiladelphia Eagles

Biography

Team
Philadelphia Eagles
Position
Tight End
Height
6' 6"
Weight
240 lbs
Born
March 15, 1995 (31)
Birthplace
Fargo, ND
College
Wisconsin Platteville
Experience
7th Season
Status
Free Agent

Career history

  • Jacksonville Jaguars · 2022 (1 season)
  • 2021 Totals · 2021 (1 season)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars · 2021 (1 season)
  • Carolina Panthers · 2021 (1 season)
  • Arizona Cardinals · 2020 (1 season)
  • 2019 Totals · 2019 (1 season)
  • Arizona Cardinals · 2019 (1 season)
  • New Orleans Saints · 2018 – 2019 (2 seasons)

NFL record

YearTeamGPRECTGTSYDSAVGTDLNGFD
2022Jacksonville Jaguars1791313515.00265
20212021 Totals11355240811.702820
2021Jacksonville Jaguars8284132411.602817
2021Carolina Panthers37118412.00193
2020Arizona Cardinals16314543814.145924
20192019 Totals581412715.92376
2019Arizona Cardinals361010217.02375
2019New Orleans Saints2242512.50191
2018New Orleans Saints10121915012.51259

Dan Arnold: our analysis

2022 season: 17 GP, 13 TGT, 9 REC, 135 YDS, 0 TD, 70 YAC. WAR 0.0 · PAL 51, around average.

In 2022, Dan Arnold, 31, posts a PAL Rating of 51 out of 100 (around average), with a WAR of 0.0.

His strengths: after the catch (81, well above average) and efficiency (70, above average). On the other hand, usage (13, among the weakest in the league) holds him back.

Receiving: +0.1 (in wins).

A marked decline: his PAL was 59 in 2021, against 51 now; his WAR went from 0.1 to 0.0.

Advanced stats, 2022 Tight ends (receiving)

NFL stats →

2022 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular tight ends (receiving): 90th means better than 90% of them.

EPA per target

+0.45

83th percentile

Target share

3.5 %

0th percentile

Separation

—

Drops

1

86th percentile

Targets

13

4th percentile

Receptions

9

3th percentile

Catch rate

69.2 %

43th percentile

Receiving yards

135

17th percentile

Yards after catch

70

17th percentile

Receiving TDs

0

5th percentile

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2023 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.1

80% of cases: 0.0 to 0.1

Games

15

WAR 2022

0.0

Games played

17

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (-1)

  • 20210.1 WAR · 0.009 per game
  • 20220.0 WAR · 0.000 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+9 · 27 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2022

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

82

Very good

REC
Receiving
85
SEP
Separation
79
ELU
Elusiveness
79
HND
Hands
75
DUR
Durability
71
EX
Experience
65
Why these ratings?
  • REC — Receiving : Expected points added and yards per target
  • SEP — Separation : Separation from the defender at the throw (Next Gen Stats)
  • ELU — Elusiveness : Yards over expected, after contact or catch, broken tackles
  • HND — Hands : Drops avoided, catches per target
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2022

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Efficiency70
Usage13
After the catch81
Hands43

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Receiving+0.05

25% of the EPA of passes thrown his way (the QB and line get the rest), above replacement.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVRecRec ydsTDEPA/tgt
2022JAX170.0518291350+0.45
2021JAX110.15977354080+0.09

Dan Arnold: frequently asked questions

What are Dan Arnold's stats in 2022?

Dan Arnold has 9 catches for 135 yards and 0 touchdowns in 17 games in 2022.

How old is Dan Arnold?

Dan Arnold is 31 years old: he was born on March 15, 1995.

How tall is Dan Arnold, and how much does he weigh?

Dan Arnold is 6'6" (198 cm) and weighs 240 lb (109 kg).

Where is Dan Arnold from?

United States: Dan Arnold was born in Fargo, ND, in the United States.

What team does Dan Arnold play for?

Dan Arnold plays for the Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL, at TE, wearing number 46.

How good is Dan Arnold?

Dan Arnold produced 0.0 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2022. His PAL rating is 51 out of 100: around average for his position.

Is Dan Arnold getting better?

No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 59 in 2021 to 51 in 2022 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

What is Dan Arnold's projection for 2023?

Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2023, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Philadelphia Eagles teammates

Full roster →