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Chester

Rogers

WR · CLE · Very poor

PAL
17
WAR
0.1
YDS
301

2021№ 59 / 98

Chester Rogers

#80WRCleveland Browns logoCleveland Browns

Biography

Team
Cleveland Browns
Position
Wide Receiver
Height
6' 1"
Weight
180 lbs
Born
January 12, 1994 (32)
Birthplace
Huntsville, AL
College
Grambling
Experience
6th Season
Status
Free Agent

Career history

  • Tennessee Titans · 2021 (1 season)
  • Indianapolis Colts · 2016 – 2019 (4 seasons)

NFL record

YearTeamGPRECTGTSYDSAVGTDLNGFD
2021Tennessee Titans16304330110.013912
2019Indianapolis Colts12162817911.222711
2018Indianapolis Colts1653724859.223428
2017Indianapolis Colts11233728412.316115
2016Indianapolis Colts14193527314.403613

Chester Rogers: our analysis

2021 season: 16 GP, 43 TGT, 30 REC, 301 YDS, 1 TD, 103 YAC. WAR 0.1 (59th of 98) · PAL 17, very poor.

In 2021, Chester Rogers, 32, posts a PAL Rating of 17 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of 0.1 ranks 59th among 98 regulars, in the bottom half.

His strengths: hands (66, above average). On the other hand, usage (4, among the weakest in the league) and after the catch (32, below average) hold him back.

Advanced stats, 2021 Wide receivers

NFL stats →

2021 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular wide receivers: 90th means better than 90% of them.

EPA per target

+0.07

20th percentile

Target share

8.2 %

7th percentile

Separation

—

Drops

2

71th percentile

Targets

43

7th percentile

Receptions

30

15th percentile

Catch rate

69.8 %

81th percentile

Receiving yards

301

10th percentile

Yards after catch

103

13th percentile

Receiving TDs

1

12th percentile

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2022 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.1

80% of cases: -0.1 to 0.2

Games

16

WAR 2021

0.1

Games played

16

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (0)

  • 20210.1 WAR · 0.006 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+10 · 27 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2021

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

69

Depth player

REC
Receiving
68
SEP
Separation
—
ELU
Elusiveness
66
HND
Hands
78
DUR
Durability
75
EX
Experience
65
Why these ratings?
  • REC — Receiving : Expected points added and yards per target
  • SEP — Separation : Separation from the defender at the throw (Next Gen Stats)
  • ELU — Elusiveness : Yards over expected, after contact or catch, broken tackles
  • HND — Hands : Drops avoided, catches per target
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2021

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Efficiency35
Usage4
After the catch32
Hands66

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Rushing+0.01

45% of the EPA of his carries (the line gets the rest), above replacement.

Receiving+0.04

25% of the EPA of passes thrown his way (the QB and line get the rest), above replacement.

Chester Rogers: frequently asked questions

What are Chester Rogers's stats in 2021?

Chester Rogers has 30 catches for 301 yards and 1 touchdown in 16 games in 2021.

How old is Chester Rogers?

Chester Rogers is 32 years old: he was born on January 12, 1994.

How tall is Chester Rogers, and how much does he weigh?

Chester Rogers is 6'1" (185 cm) and weighs 181 lb (82 kg).

Where is Chester Rogers from?

United States: Chester Rogers was born in Huntsville, AL, in the United States.

What team does Chester Rogers play for?

Chester Rogers plays for the Cleveland Browns in the NFL, at WR, wearing number 80.

How good is Chester Rogers?

Chester Rogers produced 0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2021, 59th of 98 players at his position in the NFL. His PAL rating is 17 out of 100: very poor for his position.

Is Chester Rogers a top-10 player at his position?

No: by WAR, he ranks 59th of 98 players at his position in the NFL in 2021. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.

What is Chester Rogers's projection for 2022?

Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2022, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Cleveland Browns teammates

Full roster →