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38HoloC.J. Moore headshot

C.J.

Moore

S · DET · Excellent

PAL
87
WAR
0.3
TKL
20

2021

C.J. Moore

#38SDetroit Lions logoDetroit Lions

Biography

Team
Detroit Lions
Position
Safety
Height
5' 11"
Weight
199 lbs
Born
December 15, 1995 (30)
Birthplace
Bassfield, MS
College
Ole Miss
Experience
5th Season
Status
Free Agent

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2022Detroit Lions1112750010
2021Detroit Lions17221390000
2020Detroit Lions127430000
2019Detroit Lions167520000

C.J. Moore: our analysis

2021 season: 17 GP, 20 TKL, 0.0 SACKS, 0 TFL, 1 INT, 1 PD. WAR 0.3 · PAL 87, excellent.

In 2021, C.J. Moore, 30, posts a PAL Rating of 87 out of 100 (excellent), with a WAR of 0.3.

His strengths: coverage (82, well above average), splash plays (81, well above average) and ball skills (75, well above average).

Breaking down his WAR (in wins), his biggest contribution: coverage (+0.2).

Advanced stats, 2021 Safeties

NFL stats →

2021 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular safeties: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Tackles

20

0th percentile

Interceptions

1

31th percentile

Passes defended

1

4th percentile

Targets in coverage

12

Yards allowed

47 yd

Yards allowed per target

3.9 yd

100th percentile

Passer rating allowed

39.2

99th percentile

Missed tackle rate

8.3 %

67th percentile

Tackles for loss

0

11th percentile

Defensive snaps

158

0th percentile

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2022 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.2

80% of cases: -0.2 to 0.6

Games

15

WAR 2021

0.3

Games played

17

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (+5)

  • 20210.3 WAR · 0.018 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+15 · 25 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2021

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

83

Very good

COV
Coverage
83
BAL
Ball skills
81
TCK
Tackling
76
DUR
Durability
73
EX
Experience
40
Why these ratings?
  • COV — Coverage : Yards and passer rating allowed per target
  • BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
  • TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2021

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Coverage82
Ball skills75
Tackling55
Splash plays81

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Rushing+0.06

45% of the EPA of his carries (the line gets the rest), above replacement.

Splash plays+0.04

Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.

Coverage+0.16

Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).

Position share+0.02

Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.

Team defense−0.01

How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.

The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.

C.J. Moore: frequently asked questions

What are C.J. Moore's stats in 2021?

C.J. Moore has 1 interception and 1 pass defensed in 17 games in 2021.

How old is C.J. Moore?

C.J. Moore is 30 years old: he was born on December 15, 1995.

How tall is C.J. Moore, and how much does he weigh?

C.J. Moore is 5'11" (180 cm) and weighs 198 lb (90 kg).

Where is C.J. Moore from?

United States: C.J. Moore was born in Bassfield, MS, in the United States.

What team does C.J. Moore play for?

C.J. Moore plays for the Detroit Lions in the NFL, at S, wearing number 38.

How good is C.J. Moore?

C.J. Moore produced 0.3 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2021. His PAL rating is 87 out of 100: excellent for his position.

What is C.J. Moore's projection for 2022?

Our projection has him at 0.2 WAR in 2022, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Detroit Lions teammates

Full roster →