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Brandon

Shell

OT

#68

Brandon Shell

#68OTBuffalo Bills

Height : 6' 5" · Weight : 324 lbs · Age : 34

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2022Miami Dolphins132200000
2019New York Jets151100000
2018New York Jets143210000
2017New York Jets121100000

Advanced stats, 2022 Offensive line

NFL stats →

2022 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular offensive line: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Offensive snaps

762

27th percentile

Starts

13

35th percentile

Games

13

Penalties

4

49th percentile

Penalties per 100 snaps

0.52

39th percentile

Offensive line play is measured as a unit. No public stat says who allowed a sack or opened a hole. His snaps, starts and penalties are his own; pass protection, run blocking and his WAR are his team's line's, split by snaps played.

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2023 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.1

Games

12

WAR 2022

0.1

Games played

13

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (0)

  • 20210.1 WAR · 0.010 per game
  • 20220.1 WAR · 0.008 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

-15 · 30 y.o. · the age when performance usually declines

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2022

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite. Pass and run blocking: measures of his team's line.

OV · Overall

70

Established starter

PBK
Unit pass blocking (estimated)
64
RBK
Unit run blocking (estimated)
82
DIS
Discipline
74
DUR
Durability
61
EX
Experience
70
Why these ratings?
  • PBK — Unit pass blocking (estimated) : Sacks and pressure his team's line allows: a unit measure, not the player. No public data isolates the lineman
  • RBK — Unit run blocking (estimated) : Value of his team's runs: a unit measure, not the player. No public data isolates the lineman
  • DIS — Discipline : Penalties avoided, per snap
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2022

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Unit pass blocking (estimated)33
Unit run blocking (estimated)61
Discipline39
Availability33

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Unit blocking (estimated)+0.08

The line's share of his team's offense (15% of targeted passes, 25% of other dropbacks, 55% of runs), split among linemen by snaps. A unit measure, not the player: no public data isolates the lineman.

A lineman's WAR is his team's line's, split by his snaps: it reflects the unit, not the player alone.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVSnapsStartsPen.
2022MIA130.13970762134
2021SEA100.15471551101

Brandon Shell in five questions

What are Brandon Shell's stats in 2022?

Brandon Shell has 762 offensive snaps in 13 games in 2022.

How old and how tall is Brandon Shell?

Brandon Shell is 34 years old. He is 6'5" (196 cm) and weighs 324 lb (147 kg).

How good is Brandon Shell?

Brandon Shell produced 0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2022, 83rd of 171 players at his position in the NFL. His PAL rating is 39 out of 100: below average for his position.

What number does Brandon Shell wear, and what team does he play for?

Brandon Shell plays for Buffalo Bills in the NFL, at OT, and wears number 68.

What is Brandon Shell's projection for 2023?

Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2023, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Buffalo Bills teammates

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