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Blake

Lynch

LB · TEN · Excellent

PAL
85
WAR
0.2
TKL
33

2021

Blake Lynch

#54LBTennessee Titans logoTennessee Titans

Biography

Team
Tennessee Titans
Position
Linebacker
Height
6' 3"
Weight
225 lbs
Born
February 14, 1997 (29)
Birthplace
Gilmer, TX
College
Baylor
Experience
3rd Season
Status
Free Agent

Career history

  • Kansas City Chiefs · 2024 (1 season)
  • Los Angeles Chargers · 2023 (1 season)
  • Minnesota Vikings · 2020 – 2021 (2 seasons)

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2024Kansas City Chiefs16330000
2023Los Angeles Chargers74310000
2021Minnesota Vikings163523122110
2020Minnesota Vikings412840000

Blake Lynch: our analysis

2021 season: 16 GP, 33 TKL, 2.0 SACKS, 1 TFL, 1 INT, 2 PD. WAR 0.2 · PAL 85, excellent.

In 2021, Blake Lynch, 29, posts a PAL Rating of 85 out of 100 (excellent), with a WAR of 0.2.

His strengths: coverage (85, among the best in the league), splash plays (82, well above average) and tackling (77, well above average).

Breaking down his WAR (in wins), his biggest contribution: coverage (+0.1).

Advanced stats, 2021 Linebackers

NFL stats →

2021 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular linebackers: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Tackles

33

11th percentile

Tackles for loss

1

6th percentile

Sacks

2.0

52th percentile

Pressures

2

7th percentile

Interceptions

1

74th percentile

Passes defended

2

36th percentile

Yards allowed per target

4.6 yd

85th percentile

Passer rating allowed

44.1

99th percentile

Missed tackle rate

—

Defensive snaps

218

0th percentile

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2022 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.1

80% of cases: -0.1 to 0.3

Games

11

WAR 2021

0.2

Games played

16

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (+5)

  • 20210.2 WAR · 0.013 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+30 · 24 y.o. · usually still improving

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2021

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

82

Very good

TCK
Tackling
82
COV
Coverage
84
RDF
Run defense
77
PRS
Pass rush
79
DUR
Durability
58
EX
Experience
25
Why these ratings?
  • TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
  • COV — Coverage : Yards and passer rating allowed per target
  • RDF — Run defense : Run tackles and tackles for loss, per snap
  • PRS — Pass rush : Pressures, sacks and QB hits, per snap
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2021

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Tackling77
Coverage85
Run defense57
Splash plays82
Pass rush66

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Splash plays+0.03

Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.

Coverage+0.09

Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).

Position share+0.02

Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.

Team defense+0.02

How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.

The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.

Blake Lynch: frequently asked questions

What are Blake Lynch's stats in 2021?

Blake Lynch has 2 sacks and 1 QB hit in 16 games in 2021.

How old is Blake Lynch?

Blake Lynch is 29 years old: he was born on February 14, 1997.

How tall is Blake Lynch, and how much does he weigh?

Blake Lynch is 6'3" (191 cm) and weighs 225 lb (102 kg).

Where is Blake Lynch from?

United States: Blake Lynch was born in Gilmer, TX, in the United States.

What team does Blake Lynch play for?

Blake Lynch plays for the Tennessee Titans in the NFL, at LB, wearing number 54.

How good is Blake Lynch?

Blake Lynch produced 0.2 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2021. His PAL rating is 85 out of 100: excellent for his position.

What is Blake Lynch's projection for 2022?

Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2022, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Tennessee Titans teammates

Full roster →