Arian
Smith
WR
#82
Arian Smith
#82WR
New York Jets
Height : 6' 0" · Weight : 179 lbs · Age : 24
NFL record
| Year | Team | GP | REC | TGTS | YDS | AVG | TD | LNG | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | New York Jets | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | New York Jets | 16 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 7.4 | 0 | 23 | 4 |
Contract
New York Jets payroll →- 2026 cap number
- 0.85 M$
- Average per year
- 1.31 M$
- Total value
- 5.2 M$
- Seasons left
- 3 · through 2028
- Status
- Injured reserve
2026
0.85 M$
Not guaranteed
2027
1.38 M$
Not guaranteed
2028
1.50 M$
Not guaranteed
Cap number: the season's salary plus the share of the signing bonus spread over the contract. Total value and average per year cover the whole contract, from its signing.
Advanced stats, 2025 Wide receivers
NFL stats →2025 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular wide receivers: 90th means better than 90% of them.
EPA per target
−0.40
1th percentile
Target share
4.5 %
0th percentile
Separation
—
Drops
1
91th percentile
Targets
16
0th percentile
Receptions
7
0th percentile
Catch rate
43.8 %
1th percentile
Receiving yards
52
0th percentile
Yards after catch
33
0th percentile
Receiving TDs
0
3th percentile
Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.
2026 projection
NFL trends →Projected WAR
0.1
Games
16
WAR 2025
0.0
Games played
16
The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.
Trend
→ Stable (0)
- 20250.0 WAR · 0.000 per game
The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.
Outlook, age included
+25 · 23 y.o. · usually still improving
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.
Player ratings, 2025
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.
OV · Overall
65
Depth player
- REC
- Receiving
- 60
- SEP
- Separation
- —
- ELU
- Elusiveness
- 79
- HND
- Hands
- 68
- DUR
- Durability
- 79
- EX
- Experience
- 0
Why these ratings?Hide details
- REC — Receiving : Expected points added and yards per target
- SEP — Separation : Separation from the defender at the throw (Next Gen Stats)
- ELU — Elusiveness : Yards over expected, after contact or catch, broken tackles
- HND — Hands : Drops avoided, catches per target
- DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
- EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL
WAR and PAL Rating, 2025
How we rate →WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).
PAL: dimensions
Where WAR comes from (in wins)
45% of the EPA of his carries (the line gets the rest), above replacement.
25% of the EPA of passes thrown his way (the QB and line get the rest), above replacement.
Arian Smith in five questions
What are Arian Smith's stats in 2025?
Arian Smith has 7 catches for 52 yards and 0 touchdowns in 16 games in 2025.
How old and how tall is Arian Smith?
Arian Smith is 24 years old. He is 6'0" (183 cm) and weighs 179 lb (81 kg).
How good is Arian Smith?
Arian Smith produced 0.0 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025. His PAL rating is 5 out of 100: very poor for his position.
What number does Arian Smith wear, and what team does he play for?
Arian Smith plays for New York Jets in the NFL, at WR, and wears number 82.
What is Arian Smith's projection for 2026?
Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2026, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.
