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37BaseAndrew Adams headshot

Andrew

Adams

S · BAL · Very poor

PAL
11
WAR
0.1
TKL
55

2022№ 34 / 87

Andrew Adams

#37SBaltimore Ravens logoBaltimore Ravens

Biography

Team
Baltimore Ravens
Position
Safety
Height
5' 11"
Weight
202 lbs
Born
October 28, 1992 (34)
Birthplace
Fayetteville, GA
College
UConn
Experience
7th Season
Status
Free Agent

Career history

  • Tennessee Titans · 2022 (1 season)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers · 2018 – 2021 (4 seasons)
  • New York Giants · 2016 – 2017 (2 seasons)

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2022Tennessee Titans136244180000
2021Tampa Bay Buccaneers14241680000
2020Tampa Bay Buccaneers162110000
2019Tampa Bay Buccaneers14464150100
2018Tampa Bay Buccaneers13382990000
2017New York Giants16343400100
2016New York Giants144631150000

Andrew Adams: our analysis

2022 season: 13 GP, 55 TKL, 0.0 SACKS, 0 TFL, 1 INT, 3 PD. WAR 0.1 (34th of 87) · PAL 11, very poor.

In 2022, Andrew Adams, 34, posts a PAL Rating of 11 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of 0.1 ranks 34th among 87 regulars, in the top half.

On the other hand, tackling (9, among the weakest in the league) and splash plays (21, well below average) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (in wins), his biggest contribution: positional (+0.1); his biggest cost: splash plays (-0.1).

A marked decline: his PAL was 87 in 2021, against 11 now; his WAR, though, went from 0.1 to 0.1.

Advanced stats, 2022 Safeties

NFL stats →

2022 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular safeties: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Tackles

55

24th percentile

Interceptions

1

37th percentile

Passes defended

3

17th percentile

Targets in coverage

57

Yards allowed

464 yd

Yards allowed per target

8.1 yd

53th percentile

Passer rating allowed

103.3

34th percentile

Missed tackle rate

12.7 %

8th percentile

Tackles for loss

0

13th percentile

Defensive snaps

727

29th percentile

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2023 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.1

80% of cases: -0.2 to 0.5

Games

13

WAR 2022

0.1

Games played

13

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (-2)

  • 20210.1 WAR · 0.007 per game
  • 20220.1 WAR · 0.008 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

-2 · 29 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2022

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

56

Backup or prospect

COV
Coverage
69
BAL
Ball skills
70
TCK
Tackling
63
DUR
Durability
66
EX
Experience
70
Why these ratings?
  • COV — Coverage : Yards and passer rating allowed per target
  • BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
  • TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2022

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Coverage28
Ball skills22
Tackling9
Splash plays21

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Splash plays−0.07

Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.

Coverage0.00

Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).

Position share+0.08

Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.

Team defense+0.05

How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.

The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVTklINTPDYds/tgt
2022TEN130.1115655138.1
2021TB140.1878323146.0

Andrew Adams: frequently asked questions

What are Andrew Adams's stats in 2022?

Andrew Adams has 1 interception and 3 passes defensed in 13 games in 2022.

How old is Andrew Adams?

Andrew Adams is 34 years old: he was born on October 28, 1992.

How tall is Andrew Adams, and how much does he weigh?

Andrew Adams is 5'11" (180 cm) and weighs 203 lb (92 kg).

Where is Andrew Adams from?

United States: Andrew Adams was born in Fayetteville, GA, in the United States.

What team does Andrew Adams play for?

Andrew Adams plays for the Baltimore Ravens in the NFL, at S, wearing number 37.

How good is Andrew Adams?

Andrew Adams produced 0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2022, 45th of 87 players at his position in the NFL. His PAL rating is 11 out of 100: very poor for his position.

Is Andrew Adams a top-10 player at his position?

No: by WAR, he ranks 45th of 87 players at his position in the NFL in 2022. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.

Is Andrew Adams getting better?

No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 87 in 2021 to 11 in 2022 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

What is Andrew Adams's projection for 2023?

Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2023, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Baltimore Ravens teammates

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