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Alex

Collins

RB

#41

Alex Collins

#41RBSeattle Seahawks

Height : 5' 10" · Weight : 210 lbs · Age : 32

NFL record

YearTeamGPCARYDSAVGTDLNGFDFUM
2021Seattle Seahawks111084113.8225220
2020Seattle Seahawks318774.321350
2018Baltimore Ravens101144113.6719223
2017Baltimore Ravens152129734.6650512
2016Seattle Seahawks11311254.012682

Advanced stats, 2021 Running backs

NFL stats →

2021 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular running backs: 90th means better than 90% of them.

EPA per carry

−0.11

18th percentile

Rush yards over expected

−0.85 yd/att

0th percentile

Carries

108

6th percentile

Rushing yards

411

2th percentile

Yards per carry

3.8

22th percentile

Rushing TDs

2

9th percentile

Targets

10

2th percentile

Receiving yards

87

4th percentile

EPA per target

−0.14

12th percentile

Games

11

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2022 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.0

Games

8

WAR 2021

-0.1

Games played

11

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (-2)

  • 2021-0.1 WAR · -0.009 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+8 · 27 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2021

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

58

Backup or prospect

RUN
Rushing
69
ELU
Elusiveness
53
REC
Receiving
75
BAL
Ball skills
64
DUR
Durability
56
EX
Experience
65
Why these ratings?
  • RUN — Rushing : Expected points added and success rate per carry
  • ELU — Elusiveness : Yards over expected, after contact or catch, broken tackles
  • REC — Receiving : Expected points added and yards per target
  • BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2021

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Rushing22
Creation4
Receiving6
Ball security14

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Rushing−0.05

45% of the EPA of his carries (the line gets the rest), above replacement.

Receiving−0.01

25% of the EPA of passes thrown his way (the QB and line get the rest), above replacement.

Alex Collins in five questions

What are Alex Collins's stats in 2021?

Alex Collins has 411 rushing yards, 2 rushing touchdowns and 9 catches in 11 games in 2021.

How old and how tall is Alex Collins?

Alex Collins is 32 years old. He is 5'10" (178 cm) and weighs 209 lb (95 kg).

How good is Alex Collins?

Alex Collins produced -0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2021. His PAL rating is 8 out of 100: very poor for his position.

What number does Alex Collins wear, and what team does he play for?

Alex Collins plays for Seattle Seahawks in the NFL, at RB, and wears number 41.

What is Alex Collins's projection for 2022?

Our projection has him at 0.0 WAR in 2022, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Seattle Seahawks teammates

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