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37BaseAJ Parker headshot

AJ

Parker

CB · CAR · Around average

PAL
48
WAR
0.2
TKL
47

2021№ 33 / 89

AJ Parker

#37CBCarolina Panthers logoCarolina Panthers

Biography

Team
Carolina Panthers
Position
Cornerback
Height
5' 11"
Weight
178 lbs
Born
February 15, 1998 (28)
Birthplace
Bartlesville, OK
College
Kansas State
Experience
2nd Season
Status
Free Agent

Career history

  • Carolina Panthers · 2023 (1 season)
  • Detroit Lions · 2021 – 2022 (2 seasons)

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2023Carolina Panthers14130000
2022Detroit Lions3111010000
2021Detroit Lions135039110100

AJ Parker: our analysis

2021 season: 13 GP, 47 TKL, 0.0 SACKS, 1 TFL, 1 INT, 7 PD. WAR 0.2 (33rd of 89) · PAL 48, around average.

In 2021, AJ Parker, 28, posts a PAL Rating of 48 out of 100 (around average), and his WAR of 0.2 ranks 33rd among 89 regulars, in the top half.

His strengths: splash plays (77, well above average) and ball skills (62, above average). On the other hand, tackling (29, below average) and coverage (37, below average) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (in wins), his biggest contribution: positional (+0.1).

Advanced stats, 2021 Cornerbacks

NFL stats →

2021 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular cornerbacks: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Interceptions

1

47th percentile

Passes defended

7

39th percentile

Targets in coverage

55

Yards allowed

379 yd

Yards allowed per target

6.9 yd

58th percentile

Passer rating allowed

105.0

20th percentile

Tackles

47

39th percentile

Missed tackle rate

19.4 %

4th percentile

Tackles for loss

1

49th percentile

Defensive snaps

557

15th percentile

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2022 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.2

80% of cases: -0.2 to 0.6

Games

13

WAR 2021

0.2

Games played

13

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (0)

  • 20210.2 WAR · 0.015 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+25 · 23 y.o. · usually still improving

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2021

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

68

Depth player

COV
Coverage
71
BAL
Ball skills
77
TCK
Tackling
68
DUR
Durability
68
EX
Experience
0
Why these ratings?
  • COV — Coverage : Yards and passer rating allowed per target
  • BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
  • TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2021

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Coverage37
Ball skills62
Splash plays77
Tackling29

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Splash plays+0.05

Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.

Coverage+0.07

Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).

Position share+0.08

Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.

Team defense−0.04

How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.

The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.

AJ Parker: frequently asked questions

What are AJ Parker's stats in 2021?

AJ Parker has 1 interception and 7 passes defensed in 13 games in 2021.

How old is AJ Parker?

AJ Parker is 28 years old: he was born on February 15, 1998.

How tall is AJ Parker, and how much does he weigh?

AJ Parker is 5'11" (180 cm) and weighs 179 lb (81 kg).

Where is AJ Parker from?

United States: AJ Parker was born in Bartlesville, OK, in the United States.

What team does AJ Parker play for?

AJ Parker plays for the Carolina Panthers in the NFL, at CB, wearing number 37.

How good is AJ Parker?

AJ Parker produced 0.2 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2021, 43rd of 89 players at his position in the NFL. His PAL rating is 48 out of 100: around average for his position.

Is AJ Parker a top-10 player at his position?

No: by WAR, he ranks 43rd of 89 players at his position in the NFL in 2021. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.

What is AJ Parker's projection for 2022?

Our projection has him at 0.2 WAR in 2022, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Carolina Panthers teammates

Full roster →