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Adrian

Phillips

S · NE · Below average

PAL
34
WAR
0.1
TKL
55

2022№ 34 / 87

Adrian Phillips

#21SNew England Patriots logoNew England Patriots

Biography

Team
New England Patriots
Position
Safety
Height
5' 11"
Weight
208 lbs
Born
March 28, 1992 (34)
Birthplace
Garland, TX
College
Texas
Experience
9th Season
Status
Active

Career history

  • New England Patriots · 2020 – 2023 (4 seasons)
  • Los Angeles Chargers · 2017 – 2019 (3 seasons)
  • San Diego Chargers · 2014 – 2016 (3 seasons)

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2023New England Patriots17171070000
2022New England Patriots176637290000
2021New England Patriots179256360100
2020New England Patriots1610976331000
2019Los Angeles Chargers73623130000
2018Los Angeles Chargers169465290100
2017Los Angeles Chargers156350130100
2016San Diego Chargers143825130000
2015San Diego Chargers9191270000
2014San Diego Chargers31010000

Adrian Phillips: our analysis

2022 season: 17 GP, 55 TKL, 0.0 SACKS, 2 TFL, 0 INT, 3 PD. WAR 0.1 (34th of 87) · PAL 34, below average.

In 2022, Adrian Phillips, 34, posts a PAL Rating of 34 out of 100 (below average), and his WAR of 0.1 ranks 34th among 87 regulars, in the top half.

His strengths: tackling (72, above average). On the other hand, ball skills (12, among the weakest in the league) and splash plays (20, well below average) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (in wins), his biggest contribution: positional (+0.1); his biggest cost: splash plays (-0.1).

A marked decline: his PAL was 95 in 2021, against 34 now; his WAR went from 0.8 to 0.1.

Advanced stats, 2022 Safeties

NFL stats →

2022 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular safeties: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Tackles

55

24th percentile

Interceptions

0

13th percentile

Passes defended

3

17th percentile

Targets in coverage

36

Yards allowed

280 yd

Yards allowed per target

7.8 yd

63th percentile

Passer rating allowed

108.6

24th percentile

Missed tackle rate

4.3 %

81th percentile

Tackles for loss

2

60th percentile

Defensive snaps

704

22th percentile

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2023 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.2

80% of cases: -0.2 to 0.6

Games

17

WAR 2022

0.1

Games played

17

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

↓ Slight decline (-11)

  • 20210.8 WAR · 0.047 per game
  • 20220.1 WAR · 0.006 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

-26 · 30 y.o. · the age when performance usually declines

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2022

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

95

NFL elite

COV
Coverage
83
BAL
Ball skills
74
TCK
Tackling
87
DUR
Durability
91
EX
Experience
79
Why these ratings?
  • COV — Coverage : Yards and passer rating allowed per target
  • BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
  • TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2022

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Coverage41
Ball skills12
Tackling72
Splash plays20

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Splash plays−0.08

Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.

Coverage+0.04

Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).

Position share+0.07

Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.

Team defense+0.06

How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.

The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVTklINTPDYds/tgt
2022NE170.1349555037.8
2021NE170.8959777495.4

Adrian Phillips: frequently asked questions

What are Adrian Phillips's stats in 2022?

Adrian Phillips has 0 interceptions and 3 passes defensed in 17 games in 2022.

How old is Adrian Phillips?

Adrian Phillips is 34 years old: he was born on March 28, 1992.

How tall is Adrian Phillips, and how much does he weigh?

Adrian Phillips is 5'11" (180 cm) and weighs 207 lb (94 kg).

Where is Adrian Phillips from?

United States: Adrian Phillips was born in Garland, TX, in the United States.

What team does Adrian Phillips play for?

Adrian Phillips plays for the New England Patriots in the NFL, at S, wearing number 21.

How good is Adrian Phillips?

Adrian Phillips produced 0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2022, 38th of 87 players at his position in the NFL. His PAL rating is 34 out of 100: below average for his position.

Is Adrian Phillips a top-10 player at his position?

No: by WAR, he ranks 38th of 87 players at his position in the NFL in 2022. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.

Is Adrian Phillips getting better?

No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 95 in 2021 to 34 in 2022 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

What is Adrian Phillips's projection for 2023?

Our projection has him at 0.2 WAR in 2023, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his New England Patriots teammates

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