Adrian
Peterson
RB · SEA · Very poor
- PAL
- 12
- WAR
- -0.1
- YDS
- 98
2021
Adrian Peterson
#21RB
Seattle Seahawks
Biography
- Team
- Seattle Seahawks
- Position
- Running Back
- Height
- 6' 1"
- Weight
- 217 lbs
- Born
- March 21, 1985 (41)
- Birthplace
- Palestine, TX
- College
- Oklahoma
- Draft
- 2007: Rd 1, Pk 7 (MIN)
- Experience
- 14th Season
- Status
- Free Agent
Career history
- 2021 Totals · 2021 (1 season)
- Seattle Seahawks · 2021 (1 season)
- Tennessee Titans · 2021 (1 season)
- Detroit Lions · 2020 (1 season)
- Washington Commanders · 2019 (1 season)
- Washington Redskins · 2018 (1 season)
- 2017 Totals · 2017 (1 season)
- Arizona Cardinals · 2017 (1 season)
- New Orleans Saints · 2017 (1 season)
- Minnesota Vikings · 2007 – 2016 (10 seasons)
NFL record
| Year | Team | GP | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LNG | FD | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2021 Totals | 4 | 38 | 98 | 2.6 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 1 |
| 2021 | Seattle Seahawks | 1 | 11 | 16 | 1.5 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| 2021 | Tennessee Titans | 3 | 27 | 82 | 3.0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 2020 | Detroit Lions | 16 | 156 | 604 | 3.9 | 7 | 38 | 34 | 0 |
| 2019 | Washington Commanders | 15 | 211 | 898 | 4.3 | 5 | 32 | 41 | 2 |
| 2018 | Washington Redskins | 16 | 251 | 1,042 | 4.2 | 7 | 90 | 47 | 2 |
| 2017 | 2017 Totals | 10 | 156 | 529 | 3.4 | 2 | 27 | 20 | 3 |
| 2017 | Arizona Cardinals | 6 | 129 | 448 | 3.5 | 2 | 27 | 15 | 3 |
| 2017 | New Orleans Saints | 4 | 27 | 81 | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 2016 | Minnesota Vikings | 3 | 37 | 72 | 1.9 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 1 |
| 2015 | Minnesota Vikings | 16 | 327 | 1,485 | 4.5 | 11 | 80 | 71 | 6 |
| 2014 | Minnesota Vikings | 1 | 21 | 75 | 3.6 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 2013 | Minnesota Vikings | 14 | 279 | 1,266 | 4.5 | 10 | 78 | 59 | 3 |
| 2012 | Minnesota Vikings | 16 | 348 | 2,097 | 6.0 | 12 | 82 | 85 | 3 |
| 2011 | Minnesota Vikings | 12 | 208 | 970 | 4.7 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 1 |
| 2010 | Minnesota Vikings | 15 | 283 | 1,298 | 4.6 | 12 | 80 | 70 | 1 |
| 2009 | Minnesota Vikings | 16 | 314 | 1,383 | 4.4 | 18 | 64 | 74 | 6 |
| 2008 | Minnesota Vikings | 16 | 363 | 1,760 | 4.8 | 10 | 67 | 81 | 9 |
| 2007 | Minnesota Vikings | 14 | 238 | 1,341 | 5.6 | 12 | 73 | 62 | 4 |
Adrian Peterson: our analysis
2021 season: 4 GP, 38 CAR, 98 YDS, 2 TD, 4 REC, 8 REC YDS. WAR -0.1 · PAL 12, very poor.
In 2021, Adrian Peterson, 41, posts a PAL Rating of 12 out of 100 (very poor), with a WAR of -0.1.
On the other hand, receiving (14, among the weakest in the league) and rushing (14, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (in wins), no component is positive; the costliest: rushing (-0.1).
Advanced stats, 2021 Running backs
NFL stats →2021 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular running backs: 90th means better than 90% of them.
EPA per carry
−0.26
0th percentile
Rush yards over expected
—
Carries
38
0th percentile
Rushing yards
98
0th percentile
Yards per carry
2.6
0th percentile
Rushing TDs
2
9th percentile
Targets
4
0th percentile
Receiving yards
8
0th percentile
EPA per target
−0.32
2th percentile
Games
4
Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.
2022 projection
NFL trends →Projected WAR
0.0
80% of cases: -0.1 to 0.2
Games
9
WAR 2021
-0.1
Games played
4
The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.
Trend
→ Stable (-3)
- 2021-0.1 WAR · -0.025 per game
The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.
Outlook, age included
-33 · 36 y.o. · the age when performance usually declines
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.
Player ratings, 2021
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.
OV · Overall
48
Backup or prospect
- RUN
- Rushing
- 60
- ELU
- Elusiveness
- 56
- REC
- Receiving
- 67
- BAL
- Ball skills
- 80
- DUR
- Durability
- 56
- EX
- Experience
- 98
Why these ratings?Hide details
- RUN — Rushing : Expected points added and success rate per carry
- ELU — Elusiveness : Yards over expected, after contact or catch, broken tackles
- REC — Receiving : Expected points added and yards per target
- BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
- DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
- EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL
WAR and PAL Rating, 2021
How we rate →WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).
PAL: dimensions
Where WAR comes from (in wins)
45% of the EPA of his carries (the line gets the rest), above replacement.
25% of the EPA of passes thrown his way (the QB and line get the rest), above replacement.
Adrian Peterson: frequently asked questions
What are Adrian Peterson's stats in 2021?
Adrian Peterson has 98 rushing yards, 2 rushing touchdowns and 4 catches in 4 games in 2021.
How old is Adrian Peterson?
Adrian Peterson is 41 years old: he was born on March 21, 1985.
How tall is Adrian Peterson, and how much does he weigh?
Adrian Peterson is 6'1" (185 cm) and weighs 216 lb (98 kg).
Where is Adrian Peterson from?
United States: Adrian Peterson was born in Palestine, TX, in the United States.
What team does Adrian Peterson play for?
Adrian Peterson plays for the Seattle Seahawks in the NFL, at RB, wearing number 21.
How good is Adrian Peterson?
Adrian Peterson produced -0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2021. His PAL rating is 12 out of 100: very poor for his position.
Where was Adrian Peterson drafted?
Adrian Peterson was drafted in 2007 by MIN, in round 1 (pick 7 of the round).
What is Adrian Peterson's projection for 2022?
Our projection has him at 0.0 WAR in 2022, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.
