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Adrian

Colbert

S

#24

Adrian Colbert

#24SChicago Bears

Height : 6' 2" · Weight : 205 lbs · Age : 32

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2024Chicago Bears52110000
2021New York Jets4161060000
2020New York Giants613940000
2019Miami Dolphins6221660000
2018San Francisco 49ers7211560000
2017San Francisco 49ers14373430210

Advanced stats, 2021 Safeties

NFL stats →

2021 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular safeties: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Tackles

15

0th percentile

Interceptions

0

8th percentile

Passes defended

0

1th percentile

Targets in coverage

4

Yards allowed

40 yd

Yards allowed per target

10.0 yd

14th percentile

Passer rating allowed

106.2

24th percentile

Missed tackle rate

11.1 %

35th percentile

Tackles for loss

0

11th percentile

Defensive snaps

161

0th percentile

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2022 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.0

Games

7

WAR 2021

-0.1

Games played

7

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (+2)

  • 2021-0.1 WAR · -0.014 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+12 · 27 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2021

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

59

Backup or prospect

COV
Coverage
66
BAL
Ball skills
66
TCK
Tackling
76
DUR
Durability
35
EX
Experience
58
Why these ratings?
  • COV — Coverage : Yards and passer rating allowed per target
  • BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
  • TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2021

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Coverage42
Ball skills28
Tackling49
Splash plays19

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Splash plays−0.04

Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.

Coverage−0.03

Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).

Position share+0.02

Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.

Team defense−0.02

How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.

The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.

Adrian Colbert in five questions

What are Adrian Colbert's stats in 2021?

Adrian Colbert has 0 interceptions and 0 passes defensed in 7 games in 2021.

How old and how tall is Adrian Colbert?

Adrian Colbert is 32 years old. He is 6'2" (188 cm) and weighs 205 lb (93 kg).

How good is Adrian Colbert?

Adrian Colbert produced -0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2021. His PAL rating is 27 out of 100: below average for his position.

What number does Adrian Colbert wear, and what team does he play for?

Adrian Colbert plays for Chicago Bears in the NFL, at S, and wears number 24.

What is Adrian Colbert's projection for 2022?

Our projection has him at 0.0 WAR in 2022, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Chicago Bears teammates

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