Luther
Burden III
WR

#10
Luther Burden III
#10WR
Chicago Bears
Height : 6' 0" · Weight : 210 lbs · Age : 22
NFL record
| Year | Team | GP | REC | TGTS | YDS | AVG | TD | LNG | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Chicago Bears | 3 | 15 | 23 | 156 | 10.4 | 1 | 25 | 6 |
| 2025 | Chicago Bears | 15 | 47 | 60 | 652 | 13.9 | 2 | 65 | 27 |
Contract
Chicago Bears payroll →- 2026 cap number
- 2.49 M$
- Average per year
- 2.74 M$
- Total value
- 11.0 M$
- Seasons left
- 3 · through 2028
2026
2.49 M$
Guaranteed
2027
2.99 M$
Guaranteed
2028
3.49 M$
Guaranteed
Cap number: the season's salary plus the share of the signing bonus spread over the contract. Total value and average per year cover the whole contract, from its signing.
Advanced stats, 2026 Wide receivers
NFL stats →2026 season, in progress (3 games played). The percentile ranks the player among regular wide receivers: 90th means better than 90% of them.
EPA per target
−0.14
15th percentile
Target share
25.0 %
80th percentile
Separation
2.7 yd
42th percentile
Drops
1
71th percentile
Targets
23
76th percentile
Receptions
15
77th percentile
Catch rate
65.2 %
58th percentile
Receiving yards
156
62th percentile
Yards after catch
61
75th percentile
Receiving TDs
1
66th percentile
Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.
2026 end-of-season projection
NFL trends →Projected WAR
0.2
Games
17
WAR 2026
0.0
Games played
3
WAR already earned, plus his pace (WAR per game over the last three seasons, 60/25/15, pulled toward the group average) over his team's remaining games, given his availability so far.
Trend
→ Stable (-3)
- 20250.3 WAR · 0.020 per game
- 20260.0 WAR · 0.000 per game
The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.
Outlook, age included
+22 · 22 y.o. · usually still improving
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.
Player ratings, 2026
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.
OV · Overall
87
High-end
- REC
- Receiving
- 76
- SEP
- Separation
- 89
- ELU
- Elusiveness
- 86
- HND
- Hands
- 82
- DUR
- Durability
- 78
- EX
- Experience
- 25
Why these ratings?Hide details
- REC — Receiving : Expected points added and yards per target
- SEP — Separation : Separation from the defender at the throw (Next Gen Stats)
- ELU — Elusiveness : Yards over expected, after contact or catch, broken tackles
- HND — Hands : Drops avoided, catches per target
- DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
- EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL
WAR and PAL Rating, 2026
How we rate →WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).
WAR
0.0
#35 of 77 regular wide receivers
PAL Rating
42 / 100
#45 of 77 regular wide receivers
Value Rating · 2025
100 / 100
2025 PAL (95) against 2026 salary: the contract's average per year (APY), $2.7M.PAL expected for this salary: 29Rookie-scale contract: a salary set by the draft, not the market.PAL: dimensions
Where WAR comes from (in wins)
45% of the EPA of his carries (the line gets the rest), above replacement.
25% of the EPA of passes thrown his way (the QB and line get the rest), above replacement.
| Season | Team | G | WAR | PAL | OV | Rec | Rec yds | TD | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CHI | 3 | 0.0 | 42 | 87 | 15 | 156 | 1 | −0.14 |
| 2025 | CHI | 15 | 0.3 | 95 | 90 | 47 | 652 | 2 | +0.50 |
Luther Burden III in five questions
What are Luther Burden III's stats in 2026?
Luther Burden III has 15 catches for 156 yards and 1 touchdown in 3 games in 2026.
How old and how tall is Luther Burden III?
Luther Burden III is 22 years old. He is 6'0" (183 cm) and weighs 209 lb (95 kg).
How good is Luther Burden III?
Luther Burden III produced 0.0 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2026 (season in progress), 49th of 77 players at his position in the NFL. His PAL rating is 42 out of 100: around average for his position.
What number does Luther Burden III wear, and what team does he play for?
Luther Burden III plays for Chicago Bears in the NFL, at WR, and wears number 10.
What is Luther Burden III's projection for 2026?
Our projection has him at 0.2 WAR over the full 2026 season, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.





