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Luther

Burden III

WR

#10

Luther Burden III

#10WRChicago Bears

Height : 6' 0" · Weight : 210 lbs · Age : 22

NFL record

YearTeamGPRECTGTSYDSAVGTDLNGFD
2026Chicago Bears3152315610.41256
2025Chicago Bears15476065213.926527
2026 cap number
2.49 M$
Average per year
2.74 M$
Total value
11.0 M$
Seasons left
3 · through 2028

Cap number: the season's salary plus the share of the signing bonus spread over the contract. Total value and average per year cover the whole contract, from its signing.

Advanced stats, 2026 Wide receivers

NFL stats →

2026 season, in progress (3 games played). The percentile ranks the player among regular wide receivers: 90th means better than 90% of them.

EPA per target

−0.14

15th percentile

Target share

25.0 %

80th percentile

Separation

2.7 yd

42th percentile

Drops

1

71th percentile

Targets

23

76th percentile

Receptions

15

77th percentile

Catch rate

65.2 %

58th percentile

Receiving yards

156

62th percentile

Yards after catch

61

75th percentile

Receiving TDs

1

66th percentile

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2026 end-of-season projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.2

Games

17

WAR 2026

0.0

Games played

3

WAR already earned, plus his pace (WAR per game over the last three seasons, 60/25/15, pulled toward the group average) over his team's remaining games, given his availability so far.

Trend

→ Stable (-3)

  • 20250.3 WAR · 0.020 per game
  • 20260.0 WAR · 0.000 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+22 · 22 y.o. · usually still improving

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2026

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

87

High-end

REC
Receiving
76
SEP
Separation
89
ELU
Elusiveness
86
HND
Hands
82
DUR
Durability
78
EX
Experience
25
Why these ratings?
  • REC — Receiving : Expected points added and yards per target
  • SEP — Separation : Separation from the defender at the throw (Next Gen Stats)
  • ELU — Elusiveness : Yards over expected, after contact or catch, broken tackles
  • HND — Hands : Drops avoided, catches per target
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2026

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Efficiency16
Usage67
Separation39
After the catch67
Hands69

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Rushing0.00

45% of the EPA of his carries (the line gets the rest), above replacement.

Receiving−0.01

25% of the EPA of passes thrown his way (the QB and line get the rest), above replacement.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVRecRec ydsTDEPA/tgt
2026CHI30.04287151561−0.14
2025CHI150.39590476522+0.50

Luther Burden III in five questions

What are Luther Burden III's stats in 2026?

Luther Burden III has 15 catches for 156 yards and 1 touchdown in 3 games in 2026.

How old and how tall is Luther Burden III?

Luther Burden III is 22 years old. He is 6'0" (183 cm) and weighs 209 lb (95 kg).

How good is Luther Burden III?

Luther Burden III produced 0.0 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2026 (season in progress), 49th of 77 players at his position in the NFL. His PAL rating is 42 out of 100: around average for his position.

What number does Luther Burden III wear, and what team does he play for?

Luther Burden III plays for Chicago Bears in the NFL, at WR, and wears number 10.

What is Luther Burden III's projection for 2026?

Our projection has him at 0.2 WAR over the full 2026 season, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Chicago Bears teammates

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