Gardner

Minshew II

#15

Gardner Minshew II

Height : 6' 1" · Weight : 225 lbs · Age : 30

NFL record

Year	Team	GP	CMP	ATT	CMP%	YDS	AVG	TD	INT
2025	Kansas City Chiefs	4	6	13	46.2	37	2.8	0	1
2024	Las Vegas Raiders	10	203	306	66.3	2,013	6.6	9	10
2023	Indianapolis Colts	17	305	490	62.2	3,305	6.7	15	9
2022	Philadelphia Eagles	5	44	76	57.9	663	8.7	3	3
2021	Philadelphia Eagles	4	41	60	68.3	439	7.3	4	1
2020	Jacksonville Jaguars	9	216	327	66.1	2,259	6.9	16	5
2019	Jacksonville Jaguars	14	285	470	60.6	3,271	7.0	21	6

Contract

Arizona Cardinals payroll →

2026 cap number: 5.69 M$
Average per year: 5.75 M$
Total value: 5.8 M$
Seasons left: 1 · through 2026

2026
5.69 M$
Guaranteed

Cap number: the season's salary plus the share of the signing bonus spread over the contract. Total value and average per year cover the whole contract, from its signing.

Advanced stats, 2024 Quarterbacks

NFL stats →

2024 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular quarterbacks: 90th means better than 90% of them.

EPA per dropback

−0.12

9th percentile

CPOE

+0.5 %

40th percentile

Passing yards

2,013

24th percentile

Completion %

66.3 %

65th percentile

Yards per attempt

6.6

19th percentile

Passing TDs

18th percentile

Interceptions

41th percentile

Sacks taken

50th percentile

Rushing yards

22th percentile

Games

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2025 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.1

Games

WAR 2024

-0.7

Games played

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

↓ Declining (-28)

20230.7 WAR · 0.044 per game
2024-0.7 WAR · -0.070 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

-28 · 28 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2024

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

Depth player

PAS: Passing; 68
ACC: Accuracy; 73
DEC: Decisions; 62
DEP: Deep ball; 62
MOB: Mobility; 59
DUR: Durability; 67
EX: Experience; 65

Why these ratings?

PAS — Passing : Expected points added per dropback, success rate
ACC — Accuracy : Completion percentage over expected (CPOE), on-target throws
DEC — Decisions : Interceptions and sacks avoided
DEP — Deep ball : Production on throws of 20+ air yards
MOB — Mobility : Value of his runs
DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2024

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

WAR

-0.7

#36 of 39 regular quarterbacks

PAL Rating

14 / 100

#34 of 39 regular quarterbacks

PAL: dimensions

Passing19

Accuracy53

Decisions6

Deep passing6

Rushing9

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Passing−0.58

60% of the EPA of his throws to a receiver, 75% of his sacks, throwaways and scrambles, above replacement.

Rushing−0.15

45% of the EPA of his carries (the line gets the rest), above replacement.

Season by season
Season	Team	G	WAR	PAL	OV	Pass yds	TD	INT	EPA/db
2024	LV	10	-0.7	14	63	2,013	9	10	−0.12
2023	IND	16	0.7	35	69	3,305	15	9	−0.00