PickALeague.com

David

Long Jr.

CB

#45

David Long Jr.

#45CBNew Orleans Saints

Height : 5' 11" · Weight : 196 lbs · Age : 28

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2023Carolina Panthers37520000
2023Las Vegas Raiders8121020000
2022Los Angeles Rams12211830000
2021Los Angeles Rams16403550000
2020Los Angeles Rams167610000
2019Los Angeles Rams810910000
2026 cap number
0.57 M$
Average per year
1.22 M$
Total value
1.2 M$
Seasons left
1 · through 2026
Status
Injured reserve

Cap number: the season's salary plus the share of the signing bonus spread over the contract. Total value and average per year cover the whole contract, from its signing.

Advanced stats, 2023 Safeties

NFL stats →

2023 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular safeties: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Tackles

16

0th percentile

Interceptions

0

13th percentile

Passes defended

1

5th percentile

Targets in coverage

73

Yards allowed

493 yd

Yards allowed per target

6.8 yd

83th percentile

Passer rating allowed

97.6

44th percentile

Missed tackle rate

5.0 %

90th percentile

Tackles for loss

0

15th percentile

Defensive snaps

190

0th percentile

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2024 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.2

Games

13

WAR 2023

0.2

Games played

13

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (+1)

  • 20210.4 WAR · 0.025 per game
  • 20220.2 WAR · 0.017 per game
  • 20230.2 WAR · 0.015 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+11 · 25 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2023

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

62

Depth player

COV
Coverage
74
BAL
Ball skills
35
TCK
Tackling
76
DUR
Durability
66
EX
Experience
58
Why these ratings?
  • COV — Coverage : Yards and passer rating allowed per target
  • BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
  • TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2023

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Coverage52
Ball skills3
Tackling84
Splash plays25

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Splash plays−0.04

Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.

Coverage+0.28

Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).

Position share+0.02

Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.

Team defense−0.03

How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.

The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVTklINTPDYds/tgt
2023CAR130.2286216016.8
2022LAR120.224520017.4
2021LAR160.4377136146.6

David Long Jr. in five questions

What are David Long Jr.'s stats in 2023?

David Long Jr. has 0 interceptions and 1 pass defensed in 13 games in 2023.

How old and how tall is David Long Jr.?

David Long Jr. is 28 years old. He is 5'11" (180 cm) and weighs 196 lb (89 kg).

How good is David Long Jr.?

David Long Jr. produced 0.2 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2023. His PAL rating is 28 out of 100: below average for his position.

What number does David Long Jr. wear, and what team does he play for?

David Long Jr. plays for New Orleans Saints in the NFL, at CB, and wears number 45.

What is David Long Jr.'s projection for 2024?

Our projection has him at 0.2 WAR in 2024, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his New Orleans Saints teammates

Full roster →